Clinical and Research Infectious Diseases Department, National Institute for Infectious Diseases Lazzaro Spallanzani IRCCS, Rome, Italy.
Department of Epidemiology, National Institute for Infectious Diseases Lazzaro Spallanzani IRCCS, Rome, Italy.
J Med Virol. 2023 Jun;95(6):e28831. doi: 10.1002/jmv.28831.
Despite the higher transmissibility of Omicron Variant of Concern (VOC), several reports have suggested lower risk for hospitalization and severe outcomes compared to previous variants of SARS-CoV-2. This study, enrolling all COVID-19 adults admitted to a reference hospital who underwent both the S-gene-target-failure test and VOC identification by Sanger sequencing, aimed to describe the evolving prevalence of Delta and Omicron variants and to compare the main in-hospital outcomes of severity, during a trimester (December 2021 to March 2022) of VOCs' cocirculation. Factors associated with clinical progression to noninvasive ventilation (NIV)/mechanical ventilation (MV)/death within 10 days and to MV/admission to intensive care unit (ICU)/death within 28 days, were investigated through multivariable logistic regressions. Overall, VOCs were: Delta n = 130/428, Omicron n = 298/428 (sublineages BA.1 n = 275 and BA.2 n = 23). Until mid-February, Delta predominance shifted to BA.1, which was gradually displaced by BA.2 until mid-March. Participants with Omicron VOC were more likely to be older, fully vaccinated, with multiple comorbidities and to have a shorter time from symptoms' onset, and less likely to have systemic symptoms and respiratory complications. Although the need of NIV within 10 days and MV within 28 days from hospitalization and the admission to ICU were less frequent for patients with Omicron compared to those with Delta infections, mortality was similar between the two VOCs. In the adjusted analysis, multiple comorbidities and a longer time from symptoms' onset predicted 10-day clinical progression, while complete vaccination halved the risk. Multimorbidity was the only risk factor associated with 28-day clinical progression. In our population, in the first trimester of 2022, Omicron rapidly displaced Delta in COVID-19 hospitalized adults. Clinical profile and presentation differed between the two VOCs and, although Omicron infections showed a less severe clinical picture, no substantial differences for clinical progression were found. This finding suggests that any hospitalization, especially in more vulnerable individuals, may be at risk for severe progression, which is more related to the underlying frailty of patients than to the intrinsic severity of the viral variant.
尽管奥密克戎变异株(VOC)的传染性更高,但有几项报告表明,与之前的 SARS-CoV-2 变体相比,其住院和严重后果的风险较低。本研究纳入了所有在一家参考医院住院的 COVID-19 成年人,这些患者均接受了 S 基因靶向失败测试和通过 Sanger 测序进行的 VOC 鉴定,旨在描述德尔塔和奥密克戎变体的流行率变化,并比较在 VOC 共同传播的一个季度(2021 年 12 月至 2022 年 3 月)内严重程度的主要住院结局。通过多变量逻辑回归研究了与 10 天内进展为无创通气(NIV)/机械通气(MV)/死亡和 28 天内进展为 MV/入住重症监护病房(ICU)/死亡相关的临床进展的因素。总体而言,VOC 患者中:德尔塔患者 n=130/428,奥密克戎患者 n=298/428(亚谱系 BA.1 n=275,BA.2 n=23)。直到 2 月中旬,德尔塔的优势地位转变为 BA.1,随后 BA.2 逐渐取代了 BA.1,直到 3 月中旬。感染奥密克戎 VOC 的患者更可能年龄较大、已完全接种疫苗、合并多种合并症、症状出现时间较短,且不太可能出现全身症状和呼吸道并发症。尽管与感染德尔塔的患者相比,奥密克戎患者住院后 10 天内需要 NIV 和 28 天内需要 MV 的比例较低,入住 ICU 的比例也较低,但两种 VOC 的死亡率相似。在调整分析中,多种合并症和症状出现时间较长预测了 10 天的临床进展,而完全接种疫苗将风险降低了一半。多种合并症是与 28 天临床进展相关的唯一危险因素。在我们的人群中,2022 年第一季度,奥密克戎在 COVID-19 住院成人中迅速取代了德尔塔。两种 VOC 之间的临床特征和表现有所不同,尽管奥密克戎感染表现出较轻的临床症状,但临床进展没有明显差异。这一发现表明,任何住院治疗,尤其是在更为脆弱的个体中,都可能有严重进展的风险,而这种风险更多地与患者的固有脆弱性有关,而不是与病毒变体的内在严重程度有关。