Leslie Dan Faculty of Pharmacy, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada.
Institute for Health System Solutions and Virtual Care, Women's College Hospital, Toronto, ON, Canada.
Dig Dis Sci. 2023 Aug;68(8):3259-3267. doi: 10.1007/s10620-023-07958-6. Epub 2023 Jun 3.
Drug shortages are a complex global challenge, and few studies have analyzed quantitative data on their impacts. In September 2019, detection of a nitrosamine impurity in ranitidine led to recalls and shortages.
We investigated the extent of the ranitidine shortage and its impacts on acid suppression drug utilization in Canada and the United States (US).
We conducted an interrupted time series analysis of acid suppression drug purchases in Canada and the US from 2016 through 2021 using IQVIA's MIDAS database. We used autoregressive integrated moving average models to determine the impact of the shortage on purchasing rates for ranitidine, other histamine-2 receptor antagonists (H2RAs), and proton pump inhibitors (PPIs).
Prior to the recalls, 20,439,915 ranitidine units were purchased monthly in Canada and 189,038,496 in the US on average. After the recalls started in September 2019, purchasing rates decreased for ranitidine (Canada p = 0.0048, US p < 0.0001) and increased for non-ranitidine H2RAs (Canada p = 0.0192, US p = 0.0534). One month into the recalls, purchasing rates dropped by 99% (Canada) and 53% (US) for ranitidine and increased by 128.3% (Canada) and 37.3% (US) for non-ranitidine H2RAs. PPI purchasing rates did not change significantly in either country.
The ranitidine shortage led to immediate and sustained shifts in H2RA utilization in both countries, potentially affecting hundreds of thousands of patients. Our results emphasize the need for future studies of the clinical and financial implications of the shortage, and the importance of ongoing work to mitigate and prevent drug shortages.
药品短缺是一个全球性的复杂挑战,很少有研究分析过其影响的定量数据。2019 年 9 月,雷尼替丁中检测到亚硝胺杂质,导致召回和短缺。
我们调查了雷尼替丁短缺的程度及其对加拿大和美国(美国)酸抑制药物使用的影响。
我们使用 IQVIA 的 MIDAS 数据库,对 2016 年至 2021 年加拿大和美国的酸抑制药物购买情况进行了中断时间序列分析。我们使用自回归综合移动平均模型来确定短缺对雷尼替丁、其他组胺 2 受体拮抗剂(H2RAs)和质子泵抑制剂(PPIs)购买率的影响。
召回前,加拿大每月平均购买雷尼替丁 20439915 个单位,美国平均购买 189038496 个单位。2019 年 9 月召回开始后,雷尼替丁的购买率下降(加拿大 p=0.0048,美国 p<0.0001),而非雷尼替丁 H2RAs 的购买率上升(加拿大 p=0.0192,美国 p=0.0534)。召回一个月后,雷尼替丁的购买率在加拿大下降了 99%(加拿大)和 53%(美国),而非雷尼替丁 H2RAs 的购买率在加拿大上升了 128.3%(加拿大)和 37.3%(美国)。在这两个国家,PPIs 的购买率都没有明显变化。
雷尼替丁短缺导致两国 H2RA 的使用立即且持续发生转变,可能影响数十万患者。我们的研究结果强调了未来研究短缺对临床和经济影响的必要性,以及正在开展的减轻和预防药品短缺工作的重要性。