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最佳(但常被遗忘)实践:常用试验设计的高效样本量。

Best (but oft forgotten) practices: Efficient sample sizes for commonly used trial designs.

机构信息

Department of Methodology and Statistics, Care and Public Health Research Institute (CAPHRI), Maastricht University, Maastricht, Netherlands.

Department of Methodology and Statistics, Care and Public Health Research Institute (CAPHRI), Maastricht University, Maastricht, Netherlands; Department of Methodology and Statistics, Graduate School of Psychology and Neuroscience, Maastricht University, Maastricht, Netherlands.

出版信息

Am J Clin Nutr. 2023 Jun;117(6):1063-1085. doi: 10.1016/j.ajcnut.2023.02.013. Epub 2023 Apr 19.

Abstract

Designing studies such that they have a high level of power to detect an effect or association of interest is an important tool to improve the quality and reproducibility of findings from such studies. Since resources (research subjects, time, and money) are scarce, it is important to obtain sufficient power with minimum use of such resources. For commonly used randomized trials of the treatment effect on a continuous outcome, designs are presented that minimize the number of subjects or the amount of research budget when aiming for a desired power level. This concerns the optimal allocation of subjects to treatments and, in case of nested designs such as cluster-randomized trials and multicenter trials, also the optimal number of centers versus the number of persons per center. Since such optimal designs require knowledge of parameters of the analysis model that are not known in the design stage, in particular outcome variances, maximin designs are presented. These designs guarantee a prespecified power level for plausible ranges of the unknown parameters and minimize research costs for the worst-case values of these parameters. The focus is on a 2-group parallel design, the AB/BA crossover design, and cluster-randomized and multicenter trials with a continuous outcome. How to calculate sample sizes for maximin designs is illustrated for examples from nutrition. Several computer programs that are helpful in calculating sample sizes for optimal and maximin designs are discussed as well as some results on optimal designs for other types of outcomes.

摘要

设计具有高功效来检测感兴趣的效应或关联的研究是提高此类研究发现质量和可重复性的重要工具。由于资源(研究对象、时间和资金)稀缺,因此用最小的资源获得足够的功效非常重要。对于常用的处理效果的连续结局随机临床试验,本文提出了一些设计方案,当目标是达到期望功效水平时,可以最小化所需的研究对象数量或研究预算。这涉及到将研究对象最优地分配到处理组,以及在嵌套设计(如群组随机试验和多中心试验)中,还涉及到最优的中心数量与每个中心的人数。由于此类最优设计需要了解分析模型的参数,而这些参数在设计阶段是未知的,特别是结局的方差,因此提出了极大极小设计。这些设计保证了在未知参数的合理范围内预设的功效水平,并最小化了这些参数最坏情况下的研究成本。重点是 2 组平行设计、AB/BA 交叉设计以及连续结局的群组随机和多中心试验。对于营养方面的示例,说明了如何计算极大极小设计的样本量。还讨论了有助于计算最优和极大极小设计样本量的几个计算机程序,以及其他类型结局的最优设计的一些结果。

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