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与静脉-静脉体外膜肺氧合治疗死亡率相关的预测因素。

Predictors associated with mortality of veno-venous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation therapy.

作者信息

Neumann Elena, Sahli Sebastian D, Kaserer Alexander, Braun Julia, Spahn Muriel A, Aser Raed, Spahn Donat R, Wilhelm Markus J

机构信息

Institute of Anesthesiology, University and University Hospital Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.

Departments of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Prevention Institute, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.

出版信息

J Thorac Dis. 2023 May 30;15(5):2389-2401. doi: 10.21037/jtd-22-1273. Epub 2023 Mar 22.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The use of veno-venous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (V-V ECMO) has rapidly increased in recent years. Today, applications of V-V ECMO include a variety of clinical conditions such as acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), bridge to lung transplantation and primary graft dysfunction after lung transplantation. The purpose of the present study was to investigate in-hospital mortality of adult patients undergoing V-V ECMO therapy and to determine independent predictors associated with mortality.

METHODS

This retrospective study was conducted at the University Hospital Zurich, a designated ECMO center in Switzerland. Data was analyzed of all adult V-V ECMO cases from 2007 to 2019.

RESULTS

In total, 221 patients required V-V ECMO support (median age 50 years, 38.9% female). In-hospital mortality was 37.6% and did not statistically vary significantly between indications (P=0.61): 25.0% (1/4) for primary graft dysfunction after lung transplantation, 29.4% (5/17) for bridge to lung transplantation, 36.2% (50/138) for ARDS and 43.5% (27/62) for other pulmonary disease indications. Cubic spline interpolation showed no effect of time on mortality over the study period of 13 years. Multiple logistic regression modelling identified significant predictor variables associated with mortality: age [odds ratio (OR), 1.05; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.02-1.07; P=0.001], newly detected liver failure (OR, 4.83; 95% CI: 1.27-20.3; P=0.02), red blood cell transfusion (OR, 1.91; 95% CI: 1.39-2.74; P<0.001) and platelet concentrate transfusion (OR, 1.93; 95% CI: 1.28-3.15; P=0.004).

CONCLUSIONS

In-hospital mortality of patients receiving V-V ECMO therapy remains relatively high. Patients' outcomes have not improved significantly in the observed period. We identified age, newly detected liver failure, red blood cell transfusion and platelet concentrate transfusion as independent predictors associated with in-hospital mortality. Incorporating such mortality predictors into decision making with regards to V-V ECMO use may increase its effectiveness and safety and may translate into better outcomes.

摘要

背景

近年来,静脉-静脉体外膜肺氧合(V-V ECMO)的应用迅速增加。如今,V-V ECMO的应用包括多种临床情况,如急性呼吸窘迫综合征(ARDS)、肺移植桥接以及肺移植后的原发性移植物功能障碍。本研究的目的是调查接受V-V ECMO治疗的成年患者的院内死亡率,并确定与死亡率相关的独立预测因素。

方法

这项回顾性研究在瑞士指定的ECMO中心苏黎世大学医院进行。分析了2007年至2019年所有成年V-V ECMO病例的数据。

结果

共有221例患者需要V-V ECMO支持(中位年龄50岁,女性占38.9%)。院内死亡率为37.6%,各适应症之间在统计学上无显著差异(P=0.61):肺移植后原发性移植物功能障碍为25.0%(1/4),肺移植桥接为29.4%(5/17),ARDS为36.2%(50/138),其他肺部疾病适应症为43.5%(27/62)。三次样条插值显示,在13年的研究期间,时间对死亡率没有影响。多因素逻辑回归模型确定了与死亡率相关的显著预测变量:年龄[比值比(OR),1.05;95%置信区间(CI):1.02-1.07;P=0.001]、新发现的肝功能衰竭(OR,4.83;95%CI:1.27-20.3;P=0.02)、红细胞输注(OR,1.91;95%CI:1.39-2.74;P<0.001)和血小板浓缩物输注(OR,1.93;95%CI:1.28-3.15;P=0.004)。

结论

接受V-V ECMO治疗的患者院内死亡率仍然相对较高。在观察期内患者的预后没有显著改善。我们确定年龄、新发现的肝功能衰竭、红细胞输注和血小板浓缩物输注是与院内死亡率相关的独立预测因素。将这些死亡率预测因素纳入V-V ECMO使用的决策中可能会提高其有效性和安全性,并可能转化为更好的结果。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/65aa/10267924/18fe532365b9/jtd-15-05-2389-f1.jpg

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