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监测中国植被对干旱事件的敏感性。

Monitoring vegetation sensitivity to drought events in China.

机构信息

School of Geography and Tourism, Chongqing Normal University, Chongqing 401331, China; Chongqing Key Laboratory of GIS Application, Chongqing 401331, China.

College of Chemistry, Chongqing Normal University, Chongqing 401331, China.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2023 Oct 1;893:164917. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.164917. Epub 2023 Jun 15.

Abstract

The frequency and severity of drought events have increased over the decades under the influence of global warming. Continued drought increases the risk of vegetation degradation. Many studies have investigated the responses of vegetation to drought but rarely from the perspective of drought events. Moreover, the spatial distributions of vegetation sensitivity to drought events are not well understood in China. Thus, the spatiotemporal patterns of drought events were quantified based on the run theory at different time-scales in this study. The relative importance of drought characteristics for vegetation anomalies during drought events were calculated by using the BRT model. Then, the sensitivity of vegetation anomalies and vegetation phenology was quantified by dividing standardized anomalies of vegetation parameters (NDVI and phenological metrics) and SPEI during drought events for different regions in China. The results show that Southern Xinjiang and Southeast China experienced relatively higher values of drought severity, especially at the 3-month and 6-month scales. Most arid areas experienced more drought events but of low severity, while some humid zones underwent few drought events but of high severity. Notable negative NDVI anomalies appeared in the Northeast China and Southwest China, while positive NDVI anomalies were observed in Southeast China and Northern central region. Drought interval, intensity and severity contributed approximately 80 % of the model's explained vegetation variance in most regions. The sensitivity of vegetation anomalies to drought events (VASD) varied regionally in China. The Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and Northeast China tended to exhibit higher sensitivity to drought events. Vegetation in these regions with high sensitivity faced a high risk of degradation and could function as warning signals of vegetation degradation. Drought events at high timescales had a greater impact on vegetation sensitivity in dry zones, while they had a smaller impact on humid areas. With the increase in drought degree of climate zones and the decrease in vegetation coverage, VASD showed a gradual increase. Furthermore, a strong negative correlation between VASD and the aridity index (AI) was observed in all vegetation types. The change in VASD for sparse vegetation was the largest with the change in AI. For vegetation phenology, drought events in most regions delayed the end of the growing season and extended the length of growing season, especially for sparse vegetation. The start of the growing season was advanced in most humid areas, while being delayed in most dry areas during drought events. Knowledge of vegetation sensitivity to drought events will be beneficial to provide decision-making references for the prevention and control of vegetation degradation, especially in the ecological fragile regions.

摘要

在全球变暖的影响下,干旱事件的频率和严重程度在几十年来不断增加。持续的干旱增加了植被退化的风险。许多研究已经调查了植被对干旱的响应,但很少从干旱事件的角度进行研究。此外,中国植被对干旱事件的敏感性的空间分布尚不清楚。因此,本研究基于运行理论,在不同时间尺度上量化了干旱事件的时空格局。通过使用 BRT 模型计算了干旱特征对干旱事件期间植被异常的相对重要性。然后,通过划分不同地区植被参数(NDVI 和物候指标)和 SPEI 在干旱事件期间的标准化异常,量化了植被异常和植被物候的敏感性。结果表明,南疆和东南沿海地区经历了相对较高的干旱严重程度,尤其是在 3 个月和 6 个月的时间尺度上。大多数干旱地区经历了更多但严重程度较低的干旱事件,而一些湿润地区经历了较少但严重程度较高的干旱事件。东北地区和西南地区出现了显著的负 NDVI 异常,而东南沿海和华北地区则出现了正 NDVI 异常。干旱间隔、强度和严重程度对大多数地区的模型解释植被方差的贡献约为 80%。中国不同地区对干旱事件的植被异常敏感性(VASD)存在差异。青藏高原和东北地区往往对干旱事件更为敏感。这些高敏感地区的植被面临着退化的高风险,可作为植被退化的预警信号。干旱时间尺度越高,对干旱地区植被敏感性的影响越大,而对湿润地区的影响越小。随着气候带干旱程度的增加和植被覆盖度的降低,VASD 逐渐增加。此外,在所有植被类型中,VASD 与干旱指数(AI)之间存在很强的负相关关系。在稀疏植被中,VASD 的变化与 AI 的变化呈最大负相关。对于植被物候,在大多数地区,干旱事件会延迟生长季结束时间并延长生长季长度,特别是对稀疏植被。在大多数湿润地区,生长季开始时间提前,而在大多数干旱地区,生长季开始时间延迟。了解植被对干旱事件的敏感性将有助于为植被退化的防治提供决策参考,特别是在生态脆弱地区。

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