School of Economics, Yunnan University of Finance and Economics, Kunming, Yunnan Province, China.
School of Finance, Yunnan University of Finance and Economics, Kunming, Yunnan Province, China.
PLoS One. 2023 Jun 23;18(6):e0287566. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0287566. eCollection 2023.
This study employs time-frequency domain approach to investigate the spillover effects of renminbi (RMB) exchange rate among the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) member countries. Utilizing daily data spanning from August 2010 to August 2022, we find that currencies in the RCEP region demonstrate significant interaction, which is primarily driven by short-term spillover, and ascend in response to major economic and political events. With respect to the influence of RMB, it displays frequency bands heterogeneity. Specifically, RMB tends to be a net receiver in the short term, but it primarily functions as a net transmitter in the long term. Notably, our analysis of time-varying spillover effects indicates that both domestic exchange rate regime reforms and external political and economic shocks amplify the net spillover effects of the RMB, which may be reflected in short-term connectedness or captured by long-term connectedness.
本研究采用时频域方法考察人民币汇率在《区域全面经济伙伴关系协定》(RCEP)成员国之间的溢出效应。利用 2010 年 8 月至 2022 年 8 月的日度数据,我们发现 RCEP 区域的货币存在显著的互动,主要是由短期溢出驱动的,并对重大经济和政治事件做出反应而上升。关于人民币的影响,它表现出频带异质性。具体来说,人民币在短期内倾向于成为净接受方,但在长期内主要作为净发送方。值得注意的是,我们对时变溢出效应的分析表明,国内汇率制度改革和外部政治经济冲击都会放大人民币的净溢出效应,这可能反映在短期关联性中,或被长期关联性所捕捉。