Wei Zhixi, Luo Yu, Huang Zili, Guo Kun
Business School, China University of Political Science and Law, Beijing, 102249, China.
Geisel School of Medicine, Dartmouth College, Hanover, NH 03755, USA.
Financ Res Lett. 2020 Nov;37:101782. doi: 10.1016/j.frl.2020.101782. Epub 2020 Sep 30.
The proposal of "The Belt and Road" (The B&R) Initiative has promoted regional economic cooperation and financial integration. It is crucial to measure the volatility spillover effects among "The B&R" currency market. Results from the time-varying spillover model show that "The B&R" system spillover index reflects some sudden regional crises. Likewise, the spillover of RMB exchange rate is affected by internal financial reforms as well as external economic shocks. Further, the recent outbreak of the COVID-19 has disrupted this system and the influence of RMB.
“一带一路”倡议的提出促进了区域经济合作与金融一体化。衡量“一带一路”货币市场间的波动溢出效应至关重要。时变溢出模型的结果表明,“一带一路”系统溢出指数反映了一些突发的区域危机。同样,人民币汇率的溢出受到内部金融改革以及外部经济冲击的影响。此外,近期新冠疫情的爆发扰乱了这一体系以及人民币的影响力。