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运用层次分析法(AHP)和SWOT分析法对叙利亚沼气技术投资的孵化环境进行评估。

Assessment of the incubating environment for investment in biogas technology in Syria by using AHP and SWOT.

作者信息

Hasan Ghaith, Mazancová Jana, Roubík Hynek

机构信息

Department of Sustainable Technologies, Faculty of Tropical AgriSciences, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Kamýcka 129, 16500 Prague - Suchdol, Czech Republic.

出版信息

Environ Dev Sustain. 2023 Mar 27:1-22. doi: 10.1007/s10668-023-03137-9.

Abstract

In light of the massive energy supply shortage due to the Syrian war since 2011, renewable energy adoption has a high potential to cover the actual energy demand. Hence, this study aims to shed light on the factors that affect investment in biogas technology. With the scarcity of research on alternative energies in Syria, this paper focused on the characteristics of the Syrian environment toward biogas technology adoption. The results show that Syrian society accepts and desires to adopt new technologies, representing an optimal strategy to stimulate biogas technology use and the need to spread awareness about its benefits. The SWOT model was applied to identify strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats facing biogas technology adoption. The analytical hierarchy process model was applied to set priorities and make better decisions related to the knowledge of biogas, acceptance of biogas technology, desire for and common approach for its use, the resulting organic fertilizer, and administrative and financial aspects. The work concludes that the southern region was at the forefront in the areas studied in terms of weights of biogas technology investment criteria, subsequently, the central and later the coastal regions. By presenting a systematic and comprehensive approach, this study represents a roadmap to assist decision-makers in inking decisions related to adopting and deploying biogas technology on a larger scale and contributes to developing a criterion for selecting biogas sites in Syria.

摘要

鉴于自2011年以来叙利亚战争导致大规模能源供应短缺,采用可再生能源极有可能满足实际能源需求。因此,本研究旨在阐明影响沼气技术投资的因素。由于叙利亚对替代能源的研究匮乏,本文聚焦于叙利亚环境对采用沼气技术的特点。结果表明,叙利亚社会接受并渴望采用新技术,这是刺激沼气技术使用的最佳策略,也是传播其益处相关意识的必要举措。应用SWOT模型来识别采用沼气技术面临的优势、劣势、机遇和威胁。应用层次分析法模型来确定优先级,并就沼气知识、对沼气技术的接受程度、对其使用的渴望和通用方法、产生的有机肥料以及行政和财务方面做出更好的决策。研究得出结论,就沼气技术投资标准的权重而言,南部地区在所研究的领域中处于领先地位,随后是中部地区,最后是沿海地区。通过提出一种系统而全面的方法,本研究为协助决策者做出与大规模采用和部署沼气技术相关的决策提供了路线图,并有助于制定叙利亚沼气站点选择标准。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ad38/10040307/bc15c9a99dd9/10668_2023_3137_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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