Sharma Vigya, Loginova Julia, Zhang Ruilian, Kemp Deanna, Shi Guoqing
Centre for Social Responsibility in Mining, Sustainable Minerals Institute, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia.
National Research Centre for Resettlement (NRCR) and Asian Research Centre, Hohai University, Nanjing, China.
Sustain Sci. 2023 Apr 12:1-18. doi: 10.1007/s11625-023-01312-5.
China produces nearly half of the world's coal and more than half of the global coal-fired electricity. Its CO emissions are higher than the combined volumes of the next three world regions-the US, Europe, and India. China has announced a net-zero commitment by 2060. This timeline creates enormous pressure to maintain energy security while phasing down coal use. Despite the localized nature of China's coal production with nearly 80% of its thermal coal industry concentrated in four provinces, the dependencies are complex and extensive. Large-scale changes to energy systems will result in a range of social, cultural, and economic disruptions across China's urban, rural, and remote regions. This paper examines experiences with coal transitions in other jurisdictions and considers implications for China. We examine the drivers, successes, and failures of coal phase-down in Germany, Poland, Australia, the UK, and the US. Despite significant differences in scale and complexity, these experiences offer important insights for China as it works to meet its climate commitments.
中国的煤炭产量占全球近一半,煤电产量占全球一半以上。其二氧化碳排放量高于接下来三个世界地区(美国、欧洲和印度)的总和。中国已宣布到2060年实现净零排放的承诺。这一时间表给在逐步减少煤炭使用的同时维持能源安全带来了巨大压力。尽管中国的煤炭生产具有本地化特点,近80%的动力煤行业集中在四个省份,但其依存关系复杂且广泛。能源系统的大规模变革将在中国的城市、农村和偏远地区引发一系列社会、文化和经济混乱。本文考察了其他司法管辖区煤炭转型的经验,并思考其对中国的启示。我们研究了德国、波兰、澳大利亚、英国和美国煤炭减量的驱动因素、成功之处和失败之处。尽管在规模和复杂性上存在显著差异,但这些经验为中国履行气候承诺提供了重要见解。