Declined Serum Resolvin D1 Levels to Predict Severity and Prognosis of Human Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: A Prospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND

Resolvin D1 (RvD1) possesses anti-inflammatory properties and may be neuroprotective. This study was designed to ascertain the potential role of serum RvD1 in the evaluation of aSAH severity and prognosis of human aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH).

METHODS

In this prospective observational study, serum RvD1 levels were measured in 123 patients with aSAH and in 123 healthy volunteers. Six-month neurological function was assessed using extended Glasgow outcome scale (GOSE). A prognostic prediction model was appraised using a series of evaluative tools, such as a nomogram, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, decision curve, calibration curve, restricted cubic spline, and Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit statistics.

RESULTS

Serum RvD1 levels were markedly lower in patients than in controls (median, 0.54 versus 1.47 ng/mL; P<0.001). Serum RvD1 levels were independently correlated with Hunt-Hess scores (beta, -0.154; 95% confidence interval [CI], -0.198--0.109; VIF, 1.769; P=0.001), modified Fisher scores (beta, -0.066; 95% CI, -0.125--0.006; VIF, 1.567; P=0.031) and 6-month GOSE scores (beta, 1.864; 95% CI, 0.759-2.970; VIF, 1.911; P=0.001) and were independently predictive of a poor prognosis (GOSE scores of 1-4) (odds ratio, 0.137; 95% CI, 0.023-0.817; P=0.029). Serum RvD1 levels significantly distinguished the risk of a worse prognosis, with an area under the ROC curve of 0.750 (95% CI, 0.664-0.824). Using the Youden method, serum RvD1 levels < 0.6 ng/mL was effective in predicting worse prognosis with 84.1% sensitivity and 62.0% specificity. Moreover, the model containing serum RvD1 levels, Hunt-Hess scores and modified Fisher scores was efficient, reliable and beneficial in prognostic prediction using a series of the afore-mentioned evaluative tools.

CONCLUSION

A decline in serum RvD1 levels following aSAH is closely correlated with illness severity and independently predicts a worse outcome in patients with aSAH, implying that serum RvD1, as a prognostic biomarker of aSAH, may be of clinical value in aSAH.