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物流集聚对中国碳排放的影响:空间计量分析。

Impacts of logistics agglomeration on carbon emissions in China: a spatial econometric analysis.

机构信息

School of Modern Posts, Nanjing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Nanjing, China.

School of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Beijing, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Aug;30(37):87087-87101. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-27358-7. Epub 2023 Jul 7.

Abstract

Logistics industry relies heavily on fossil fuels and has drawn significant attention for its environmental impact. With a focus on the effect of logistics agglomeration, this paper examines the spatial spillover effects of the Chinese logistics industry on carbon emissions by using the spatial Durbin model based on panel data of 30 Chinese provinces from 2000 to 2019. The results indicate that the logistics agglomeration can positively influence emission reduction in both local and surrounding areas. Additionally, the environmental externalities from transportation structure and logistics scale are estimated; it finds that the scale of logistics also plays a significant role on carbon emissions. As to the heterogeneity of regions, the logistics agglomeration of the eastern area has positive externalities on carbon reduction, and the total spatial spillover effects on environmental pollution in the eastern area are much stronger than western area. The research findings indicate the potential benefits of promoting logistics agglomeration to reduce carbon emissions in China and can provide policy recommendations for green logistics reform and emission governance.

摘要

物流业严重依赖化石燃料,其对环境的影响受到了广泛关注。本文聚焦于物流业集聚的影响,利用 2000-2019 年中国 30 个省份的面板数据,基于空间 Durbin 模型,考察了中国物流业对碳排放的空间溢出效应。结果表明,物流集聚在本地和周边地区都能对减排产生积极影响。此外,还估计了交通结构和物流规模的环境外部性,发现物流规模对碳排放也有重要作用。至于区域异质性,东部地区的物流集聚对碳减排有积极的外部性,其对环境污染的总空间溢出效应在东部地区比西部地区强得多。研究结果表明,在中国促进物流集聚以减少碳排放具有潜在的好处,并能为绿色物流改革和排放治理提供政策建议。

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