Risk Factors for Graft Failure After Meniscal Allograft Transplantation: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND

Graft failure after meniscal allograft transplantation (MAT) may necessitate revision surgery or conversion to arthroplasty. A comprehensive understanding of the risk factors for failure after MAT of the knee may facilitate more informed shared decision-making discussions before surgery and help determine whether MAT should be performed based on patient risk.

PURPOSE

To perform a systematic review and meta-analysis of risk factors associated with graft failure after MAT of the knee.

STUDY DESIGN

Systematic review; Level of evidence, 4.

METHODS

The PubMed, OVID/Medline, and Cochrane databases were queried in October 2021. Data pertaining to study characteristics and risk factors associated with failure after MAT were recorded. DerSimonian-Laird binary random-effects models were constructed to quantitatively evaluate the association between risk factors and MAT graft failure by generating effect estimates in the form of odds ratios (ORs) with 95% CIs. Qualitative analysis was performed to describe risk factors that were variably reported.

RESULTS

In total, 17 studies including 2184 patients were included. The overall pooled prevalence of failure at the latest follow-up was 17.8% (range, 3.3%-81.0%). In 10 studies reporting 5-year failure rates, the pooled prevalence of failure was 10.9% (range, 4.7%-23%). In 4 studies reporting 10-year failure rates, the pooled prevalence was 22.7% (range, 8.1%-55.0%). A total of 39 risk factors were identified, although raw data presented in a manner amenable to meta-analysis only allowed for 3 to be explored quantitatively. There was strong evidence to support that an International Cartilage Regeneration & Joint Preservation Society grade >3a (OR, 5.32; 95% CI, 2.75-10.31; < .001) was a significant risk factor for failure after MAT. There was no statistically significant evidence to incontrovertibly support that patient sex (OR, 2.16; 95% CI, 0.83-5.64; = .12) or MAT laterality (OR, 1.11; 95% CI, 0.38-3.28; = .85) was associated with increased risk of failure after MAT.

CONCLUSION

Based on the studies reviewed, there was strong evidence to suggest that degree of cartilage damage at the time of MAT is associated with graft failure; however, the evidence was inconclusive on whether laterality or patient sex is associated with graft failure.