Li Lei, Ali Arshad, Li Shen, Zhang Taiming
School of Economics and Management, Jilin Agricultural University, Changchun, 130000, China.
Institute of Economics and Management, North East Agricultural University, Harbin, China.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Jul 13. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-28546-1.
This study aims to examine the impact of globalization, renewable energy consumption, and agricultural value addition on the ecological footprint of selected five most populous countries in Asia during the period 1975-2020. The Westerlund cointegration test supports long-term cointegration relationships among the considered variables in selected countries. The long-term resilience results of the second-generation cross-sectionally augmented autoregressive distributed lag approach evidently demonstrate that agricultural value addition and globalization contribute significantly to the long-term ecological footprint of the five most populous countries in Asia. However, renewable energy consumption significantly reduces the ecological footprint. Moreover, the impact of economic growth on ecological footprint is significantly positive, while the square of economic growth had a significantly negative impact on ecological footprint, thus validating the inverted U-shaped environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis for specific Asian densely populated countries. The causality test results of Dumitrescu and Hurlin support the feedback hypothesis by showing a two-way causal relationship between renewable energy consumption and economic growth. There is also a two-way causal relationship between agricultural value added and ecological footprint. Strategically, specific densely populated countries in Asia should encourage clean energy production and consumption in the agricultural sector, and the adoption of environmentally friendly technologies can improve environmental quality and agricultural production.
本研究旨在考察1975 - 2020年期间全球化、可再生能源消费和农业附加值对亚洲五个人口最多的选定国家生态足迹的影响。韦斯特伦德协整检验支持选定国家中所考虑变量之间的长期协整关系。第二代截面增强自回归分布滞后方法的长期弹性结果明显表明，农业附加值和全球化对亚洲五个人口最多国家的长期生态足迹有显著贡献。然而，可再生能源消费显著降低了生态足迹。此外，经济增长对生态足迹的影响显著为正，而经济增长的平方对生态足迹有显著负面影响，从而验证了特定亚洲人口密集国家的倒U形环境库兹涅茨曲线假说。杜米特雷斯库和胡林的因果关系检验结果通过显示可再生能源消费与经济增长之间的双向因果关系支持了反馈假说。农业附加值与生态足迹之间也存在双向因果关系。从战略上讲，亚洲特定人口密集国家应鼓励农业部门的清洁能源生产和消费，采用环保技术可以改善环境质量和农业生产。
