Sorano Sumire, Procter Simon R, Seale Anna C
Department of Disease Control, Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom.
School of Tropical Medicine & Global Health, Nagasaki University, Japan.
Vaccine X. 2023 Jun 16;14:100332. doi: 10.1016/j.jvacx.2023.100332. eCollection 2023 Aug.
Group B Streptococcus (GBS) is a leading pathogen causing life-threatening bacterial infections in neonates (early- or late-onset) and infants, and is associated with preterm and stillbirth. Japan introduced national guidelines to reduce early-onset neonatal GBS disease, with universal prenatal screening and intrapartum antimicrobial prophylaxis (IAP). However, screening/IAP does not prevent GBS associated late-onset disease, preterm or stillbirth. Maternal GBS vaccines in development are targeted at infant GBS disease but may provide benefit across perinatal outcomes. We aimed to assess cost-effectiveness of a future maternal GBS vaccine, for a base case prevention of infant GBS disease in combination with screening/IAP compared to screening/IAP alone.
We used a decision tree model to estimate cases of infant GBS disease, deaths, and neuro-developmental impairment (NDI), GBS-related stillbirths, and the associated costs and loss in Quality-Adjusted Life Years (QALYs). We calculate the threshold price at which a vaccine would be cost-effective assuming a cost-effectiveness threshold of ¥5 million/QALY. We explored the potential benefit of a maternal GBS vaccine that also prevents preterm birth in a scenario analysis.
Maternal GBS vaccination in Japan could prevent an additional 142 infant GBS cases annually, including 5 deaths and 21 cases of NDI, and 13 stillbirths compared to screening/IAP alone. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was ¥3.78 million/QALY with a vaccine cost of ¥5,000/dose. If the QALY lost for stillbirth is included, the ICER is reduced to ¥1.78 million/QALY. Median threshold vaccine price was ¥6,900 per dose (95 % uncertainty interval ¥5,100 to ¥9,200 per dose). If maternal GBS vaccination also prevented half of GBS-associated preterm, the ICER would be reduced to ¥1.88 million/QALY.
An effective maternal GBS vaccine is likely to be considered cost-effective in Japan at a price of ¥5,000/dose. Effectiveness against other adverse perinatal outcomes would increase health benefits and cost-effectiveness.
B族链球菌(GBS)是导致新生儿(早发型或晚发型)和婴儿危及生命的细菌感染的主要病原体,且与早产和死产有关。日本出台了国家指南,通过普遍的产前筛查和产时抗菌药物预防(IAP)来减少早发型新生儿GBS疾病。然而,筛查/IAP并不能预防GBS相关的晚发型疾病、早产或死产。正在研发的母体GBS疫苗针对的是婴儿GBS疾病,但可能对围产期结局也有益处。我们旨在评估未来母体GBS疫苗的成本效益,与单独的筛查/IAP相比,其基础情况是预防婴儿GBS疾病并结合筛查/IAP。
我们使用决策树模型来估计婴儿GBS疾病、死亡和神经发育障碍(NDI)的病例数、GBS相关死产数以及相关成本和质量调整生命年(QALY)的损失。假设成本效益阈值为500万日元/QALY,我们计算疫苗具有成本效益的阈值价格。在情景分析中,我们探讨了一种还能预防早产的母体GBS疫苗的潜在益处。
与单独的筛查/IAP相比,日本的母体GBS疫苗接种每年可额外预防142例婴儿GBS病例,包括5例死亡和21例NDI,以及13例死产。增量成本效益比(ICER)为378万日元/QALY,疫苗成本为每剂5000日元。如果将死产导致的QALY损失包括在内,ICER降至178万日元/QALY。疫苗价格中位数阈值为每剂6900日元(95%不确定区间为每剂5100日元至9200日元)。如果母体GBS疫苗接种还能预防一半与GBS相关的早产,ICER将降至188万日元/QALY。
在日本,一种有效的母体GBS疫苗以每剂5000日元的价格可能被认为具有成本效益。对其他不良围产期结局的有效性将增加健康益处和成本效益。