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基于上下文相关行为的网络传播动力学。

Spreading dynamics in networks under context-dependent behavior.

机构信息

Departament d'Enginyeria Informàtica i Matemàtiques, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, 43007 Tarragona, Spain.

出版信息

Phys Rev E. 2023 Jun;107(6-1):064304. doi: 10.1103/PhysRevE.107.064304.

Abstract

In some systems, the behavior of the constituent units can create a "context" that modifies the direct interactions among them. This mechanism of indirect modification inspired us to develop a minimal model of context-dependent spreading. In our model, agents actively impede (favor) or not diffusion during an interaction, depending on the behavior they observe among all the peers in the group within which that interaction occurs. We divide the population into two behavioral types and provide a mean-field theory to parametrize mixing patterns of arbitrary type-assortativity within groups of any size. As an application, we examine an epidemic-spreading model with context-dependent adoption of prophylactic tools such as face masks. By analyzing the distributions of groups' size and type-composition, we uncover a rich phenomenology for the basic reproduction number and the endemic state. We analytically show how changing the group organization of contacts can either facilitate or hinder epidemic spreading, eventually moving the system from the subcritical to the supercritical phase and vice versa, depending mainly on sociological factors, such as whether the prophylactic behavior is hardly or easily induced. More generally, our work provides a theoretical foundation to model higher-order contexts and analyze their dynamical implications, envisioning a broad theory of context-dependent interactions that would allow for a new systematic investigation of a variety of complex systems.

摘要

在某些系统中,组成单元的行为可以创建一个“上下文”,从而改变它们之间的直接相互作用。这种间接修改的机制启发我们开发了一个上下文相关传播的最小模型。在我们的模型中,根据在发生交互的组内所有同伴之间观察到的行为,代理在交互期间积极地阻碍(偏好)或不扩散。我们将人群分为两种行为类型,并提供了一种均值场理论来参数化任意类型的混合模式组内的任意类型的聚集。作为应用,我们研究了一个具有上下文相关的预防性工具(如口罩)采用的传染病传播模型。通过分析群体大小和类型组成的分布,我们为基本繁殖数和地方病状态揭示了丰富的现象学。我们分析地表明,改变接触的群体组织如何促进或阻碍传染病的传播,最终根据社会因素(例如预防性行为是否难以或容易引起)将系统从亚临界移动到超临界阶段,反之亦然。更一般地,我们的工作为模型更高阶的上下文并分析它们的动态含义提供了理论基础,设想了一种广泛的上下文相关相互作用理论,这将允许对各种复杂系统进行新的系统研究。

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