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原发性醛固酮增多症手术干预后持续性高血压的预测模型。

Predictive model for persistent hypertension after surgical intervention of primary aldosteronism.

机构信息

Department of Urology, The Ninth People's Hospital of Chongqing, 69 Jialing Village, Beibei District, Chongqing, 400700, China.

Department of Urology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Yi Xue Yuan Road, Chongqing, 400016, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2023 Jul 22;13(1):11868. doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-39028-2.

Abstract

Primary aldosteronism (PA) is one of the most common causes of secondary hypertension and is potentially curable. However, a large number of patients still undergo persistent hypertension (PHT) after unilateral adrenal surgery. This research retrospectively studied the factors associated with this clinical difficulty and established a prediction model for the postoperative PHT; Methods: 353 patients from 2014 to 2021 with PA undergoing unilateral adrenal surgery were enrolled in this study. Clinical and biochemical characteristics were reviewed and the associating factors were examined using univariate and multivariate analysis. A nomogram-based prediction model was established correspondingly; results: 46.2% (163/190) of patients had post-surgical PHT. Multivariate analysis suggested that BMI ≥ 25, diabetes, duration of hypertension, male gender, and ARR were independent predictors of PHT after surgery. The prediction model based on the nomogram showed good discrimination ability (the C index of the training group and the validation group were 0.783 and 0.769, respectively), and the calibration curves and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test were good as well. Clinical usefulness was quantified using the decision curve analysis; This nomogram is an integration of the clinical and biochemical data of patients before surgery, and is a reliable tool with high accuracy for predicting the postoperative PHT in patients with PA.

摘要

原发性醛固酮增多症(PA)是继发性高血压的最常见原因之一,且有潜在的治愈可能。然而,大量患者在单侧肾上腺手术后仍持续存在高血压(PHT)。本研究回顾性研究了与这种临床困难相关的因素,并建立了术后 PHT 的预测模型;方法:本研究纳入了 2014 年至 2021 年间因 PA 接受单侧肾上腺手术的 353 例患者。回顾了临床和生化特征,并使用单因素和多因素分析检查了相关因素。相应地建立了基于列线图的预测模型;结果:46.2%(163/190)的患者术后出现 PHT。多因素分析表明,BMI≥25、糖尿病、高血压病程、男性和ARR 是术后 PHT 的独立预测因素。基于列线图的预测模型显示出良好的区分能力(训练组和验证组的 C 指数分别为 0.783 和 0.769),校准曲线和 Hosmer-Lemeshow 检验也较好。决策曲线分析量化了临床实用性;该列线图是对患者术前临床和生化数据的综合,是一种准确性高的可靠工具,可用于预测 PA 患者术后 PHT。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0087/10363150/19b463673e11/41598_2023_39028_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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