Nelson John P, Selin Cynthia L
School for the Future of Innovation in Society, Arizona State University, 1120 South Cady Mall, Tempe, Arizona 85287-5603.
School for the Future of Innovation in Society/Consortium for Science, Policy & Outcomes, Arizona State University, 1120 South Cady Mall, Tempe, Arizona 85287-5603.
Futures. 2023 May;149. doi: 10.1016/j.futures.2023.103138. Epub 2023 Mar 21.
Scholarly discussion around the governance of human genome editing (HGE) recognizes that development and application of HGE techniques could result in unexpected societal outcomes. However, it contains few to no methodological models for how to anticipate, prepare for, or shape such outcomes. This article presents early-stage results from research guided by anticipatory governance, a framework for broad expert and public consideration of innovation processes and purposes. We present and discuss key themes emerging from a set of future-oriented interviews with genome editing practitioners and experts, designed to inform broadly scoped deliberations about plausible futures of HGE. We articulate our results as seven "open questions," the answers to which will be important components of HGE's eventual shape and outcomes. Some themes are perennial in studies of science and society, and others are more novel to HGE. Each helps to reframe HGE beyond a simple comparison of risk and benefit. Such reframing opens up new and important terrain for discussion among policymakers, academics, scientists, and publics. We suggest that discussion framed around broad and reflexive questions like those presented here will help governance efforts to better acknowledge and flexibly respond to the uncertainty and complexities of HGE developments.
围绕人类基因组编辑(HGE)治理的学术讨论认识到,HGE技术的开发和应用可能会导致意想不到的社会后果。然而,对于如何预测、应对或塑造这些后果,它几乎没有提供任何方法模型。本文展示了以预期治理为指导的研究的早期成果,预期治理是一个让专家和公众广泛参与对创新过程及目的进行考量的框架。我们展示并讨论了从一组面向未来的访谈中浮现出的关键主题,这些访谈对象包括基因组编辑从业者和专家,旨在为关于HGE可能未来的广泛审议提供信息。我们将研究结果归纳为七个“开放性问题”,这些问题的答案将是HGE最终形态和结果的重要组成部分。有些主题在科学与社会研究中一直存在,而其他一些主题对HGE来说则较为新颖。每个主题都有助于超越简单的风险与收益比较来重新审视HGE。这种重新审视为政策制定者、学者、科学家和公众之间的讨论开辟了新的重要领域。我们认为,围绕像本文所提出的这类广泛且具有反思性的问题展开讨论,将有助于治理工作更好地认识并灵活应对HGE发展中的不确定性和复杂性。