Tolladay John, Lear Christopher A, Bennet Laura, Gunn Alistair J, Georgieva Antoniya
Oxford Labour Monitoring Group, Nuffield Department of Women's and Reproductive Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX1 2JD, UK.
The Fetal Physiology and Neuroscience Group, Department of Physiology, University of Auckland, Auckland 1010, New Zealand.
Bioengineering (Basel). 2023 Jun 28;10(7):775. doi: 10.3390/bioengineering10070775.
Our objective is to develop a model for the prediction of minimum fetal blood pressure (FBP) during fetal heart rate (FHR) decelerations. Experimental data from umbilical occlusions in near-term fetal sheep (2698 occlusions from 57 near-term lambs) were used to train a convolutional neural network. This model was then used to estimate FBP for decelerations extracted from the final 90 min of 53,445 human FHR signals collected using cardiotocography. Minimum sheep FBP was predicted with a mean absolute error of 6.7 mmHg (25th, 50th, 75th percentiles of 2.3, 5.2, 9.7 mmHg), mean absolute percentage errors of 17.3% (5.5%, 12.5%, 23.9%) and a coefficient of determination R2=0.36. While the model was unable to clearly predict severe compromise at birth in humans, there is positive evidence that such a model could predict human FBP with further development. The neural network is capable of predicting FBP for many of the sheep decelerations accurately but performed far from satisfactory at identifying FHR segments that correspond to the highest or lowest minimum FBP. These results indicate that with further work and a larger, more variable training dataset, the model could achieve higher accuracy.
我们的目标是开发一种模型,用于预测胎儿心率(FHR)减速期间的最低胎儿血压(FBP)。利用近足月胎羊脐动脉闭塞的实验数据(来自57只近足月羔羊的2698次闭塞)训练卷积神经网络。然后使用该模型对从53445份使用胎心监护仪收集的人类FHR信号的最后90分钟提取的减速期间的FBP进行估计。预测羊的最低FBP时,平均绝对误差为6.7 mmHg(第25、50、75百分位数分别为2.3、5.2、9.7 mmHg),平均绝对百分比误差为17.3%(5.5%、12.5%、23.9%),决定系数R2 = 0.36。虽然该模型无法明确预测人类出生时的严重情况,但有积极证据表明,经过进一步开发,这样的模型可以预测人类FBP。神经网络能够准确预测许多羊的减速期间的FBP,但在识别与最高或最低最低FBP相对应的FHR段方面表现远不尽人意。这些结果表明,通过进一步的工作和更大、更多样化的训练数据集,该模型可以实现更高的准确性。