Fischer Egil A J, Broens Els M, Kooistra Hans S, De Rooij Myrna M T, Stegeman Jan Arend, De Jong Mart C M
Faculty Veterinary Medicine, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands.
Department of Quantitative Veterinary Epidemiology, Wageningen University, Wageningen, Netherlands.
Front Vet Sci. 2023 Jul 14;10:1151772. doi: 10.3389/fvets.2023.1151772. eCollection 2023.
SARS-CoV-2 is known to jump across species. The occurrence of transmission in households between humans and companion animals has been shown, but the contribution of companion animals to the overall transmission within a household is unknown. The basic reproduction number () is an important indicator to quantify transmission. For a pathogen with multiple host species, such as SARS-CoV-2, the basic reproduction number needs to be calculated from the partial reproduction numbers for each combination of host species.
In this study, the basic and partial reproduction numbers for SARS-CoV-2 were estimated by reanalyzing a survey of Dutch households with dogs and cats and minimally one SARS-CoV-2-infected human.
For households with cats, a clear correlation between the number of cats and the basic reproduction number (Spearman's correlation: 0.40, -value: 1.4 × 10) was identified, while for dogs, the correlation was smaller and not significant (Spearman's correlation: 0.12, -value: 0.21). Partial reproduction numbers from cats or dogs to humans were 0.3 (0.0-2.0) and 0.3 (0.0-3.5) and from humans to cats or dogs were 0.6 (0.4-0.8) and 0.6 (0.4-0.9).
Thus, the estimations of within-household transmission indicated the likelihood of transmission from these companion animals to humans and vice versa, but the observational nature of this study limited the ability to establish conclusive evidence. This study's findings support the advice provided during the pandemic to COVID-19 patients to maintain distance from companion animals as a precautionary measure and given the possibility of transmission, although there is an overall relatively limited impact on the pandemic when compared to human-to-human transmission.
已知严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2(SARS-CoV-2)会跨物种传播。已证实人类与伴侣动物在家庭中会发生传播,但伴侣动物对家庭内总体传播的贡献尚不清楚。基本再生数((R_0))是量化传播的重要指标。对于像SARS-CoV-2这样具有多种宿主物种的病原体,基本再生数需要根据每种宿主物种组合的部分再生数来计算。
在本研究中,通过重新分析一项对荷兰有猫和狗且至少有一名感染SARS-CoV-2的人类的家庭的调查,估算了SARS-CoV-2的基本再生数和部分再生数。
对于有猫的家庭,猫的数量与基本再生数之间存在明显相关性(斯皮尔曼相关性:(r = 0.40),(P)值:(1.4×10^{-2})),而对于狗,相关性较小且不显著(斯皮尔曼相关性:(r = 0.12),(P)值:(0.21))。从猫或狗到人类的部分再生数分别为(0.3)((0.0 - 2.0))和(0.3)((0.0 - 3.5)),从人类到猫或狗的部分再生数分别为(0.6)((0.4 - 0.8))和(0.6)((0.4 - 0.9))。
因此,家庭内传播的估计表明了这些伴侣动物与人类之间相互传播的可能性,但本研究的观察性质限制了确立确凿证据的能力。本研究结果支持在疫情期间向COVID-19患者提供的建议,即作为预防措施与伴侣动物保持距离,考虑到存在传播可能性,尽管与人际传播相比,其对疫情的总体影响相对有限。