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基于使用模拟和实际工程数据的多重删失方法,在步加应力部分加速寿命试验下的统计推断。

Statistical inferences under step stress partially accelerated life testing based on multiple censoring approaches using simulated and real-life engineering data.

作者信息

Rahman Ahmadur, Kamal Mustafa, Khan Shahnawaz, Khan Mohammad Faisal, Mustafa Manahil SidAhmed, Hussam Eslam, Atchadé Mintodê Nicodème, Al Mutairi Aned

机构信息

Department of Statistics and Operations Research, Aligarh Muslim University, Aligarh, India.

Department of Basic Sciences, College of Science and Theoretical Studies, Saudi Electronic University, 32256, Dammam, Saudi Arabia.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2023 Aug 1;13(1):12452. doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-39170-x.

DOI:10.1038/s41598-023-39170-x
PMID:37528103
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10394031/
Abstract

Evaluating the lifespan distribution of highly reliable commodities under regular use is exceedingly difficult, time consuming, and extremely expensive. As a result of its ability to provide more failure data faster and at a lower experimental cost, accelerated life testing has become increasingly important in life testing studies. In this article, we concentrate on parametric inference for step stress partially life testing utilizing multiple censored data based on the Tampered Random Variable model. Under normal stress circumstances, the lifespan of the experimental units is assumed to follow the Nadarajah-Haghighi distribution, with and being the shape and scale parameters, respectively. Maximum likelihood estimates for model parameters and acceleration factor are developed using multiple censored data. We build asymptotic confidence intervals for the unknown parameters using the observed Fisher information matrix. To demonstrate the applicability of the different methodologies, an actual data set based on the timings of subsequent failures of consecutive air conditioning system failures for each member of a Boeing 720 jet aircraft fleet is investigated. Finally, thorough simulation studies utilizing various censoring strategies are performed to evaluate the estimate procedure performance. Several sample sizes were studied in order to investigate the finite sample features of the considered estimators. According to our numerical findings, the values of mean squared errors and average asymptotic confidence intervals lengths drop as sample size increases. Furthermore, when the censoring level is reduced, the considered estimates of the parameters approach their genuine values.

摘要

评估高可靠性商品在正常使用下的寿命分布极其困难、耗时且成本极高。由于加速寿命测试能够以更低的实验成本更快地提供更多失效数据,因此在寿命测试研究中变得越来越重要。在本文中,我们专注于基于篡改随机变量模型利用多重删失数据对逐步应力部分寿命测试进行参数推断。在正常应力情况下,假定实验单元的寿命服从纳达拉贾 - 哈格希分布,其中 和 分别为形状参数和尺度参数。利用多重删失数据得出模型参数和加速因子的最大似然估计。我们使用观测到的费希尔信息矩阵为未知参数构建渐近置信区间。为了证明不同方法的适用性,对基于波音720喷气式飞机机队每个成员连续空调系统故障后续失效时间的实际数据集进行了研究。最后,利用各种删失策略进行了全面的模拟研究,以评估估计程序的性能。研究了几个样本量,以考察所考虑估计量的有限样本特征。根据我们的数值结果,均方误差值和平均渐近置信区间长度随着样本量的增加而下降。此外,当删失水平降低时,所考虑的参数估计接近其真实值。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7bda/10394031/d694e599d422/41598_2023_39170_Fig9_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7bda/10394031/ccae7e12a173/41598_2023_39170_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7bda/10394031/e31d461c37c8/41598_2023_39170_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7bda/10394031/bf7739e575fd/41598_2023_39170_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7bda/10394031/f33823ff86ee/41598_2023_39170_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7bda/10394031/ab8a11b44fdc/41598_2023_39170_Fig5_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7bda/10394031/78eb0d290f09/41598_2023_39170_Fig6_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7bda/10394031/a7228a1d53ac/41598_2023_39170_Fig7_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7bda/10394031/c6226c82dba0/41598_2023_39170_Fig8_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7bda/10394031/d694e599d422/41598_2023_39170_Fig9_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7bda/10394031/ccae7e12a173/41598_2023_39170_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7bda/10394031/e31d461c37c8/41598_2023_39170_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7bda/10394031/bf7739e575fd/41598_2023_39170_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7bda/10394031/f33823ff86ee/41598_2023_39170_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7bda/10394031/ab8a11b44fdc/41598_2023_39170_Fig5_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7bda/10394031/78eb0d290f09/41598_2023_39170_Fig6_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7bda/10394031/a7228a1d53ac/41598_2023_39170_Fig7_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7bda/10394031/c6226c82dba0/41598_2023_39170_Fig8_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7bda/10394031/d694e599d422/41598_2023_39170_Fig9_HTML.jpg

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