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零能碳建筑中可再生能源集成的预测和差距分析:一种综合的文献计量学和机器学习方法。

Forecasting and gap analysis of renewable energy integration in zero energy-carbon buildings: a comprehensive bibliometric and machine learning approach.

机构信息

Department of Renewable Energy and Environment, Faculty of New Sciences & Technologies, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Aug;30(40):91729-91745. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-28669-5. Epub 2023 Aug 2.

Abstract

This paper investigates biomass and solar energy's present and future perspectives in low/zero energy and carbon emissions. Its data source is published articles indexed in the Scopus database. By analyzing the articles extracted in Vos viewer software, four main areas of research are found: sustainable development, economic and managerial issues, methods, algorithms, modeling technologies, and renewable energy and its sources and types. In all four sections, research gaps were observed in the field of the third generation of photovoltaics (semi-transparent solar cells )organic)) and algae. As part of the study, advanced bibliometric analysis was carried out by VOS viewer software, and 34129 articles were examined from Scopus, alongside a patent analysis using Google patents, in addition to the bibliometric analysis. It has been shown by machine learning that about 9% of future articles in all energy fields will consist of building articles, and a quarter of these articles will be in the field of renewable energy. While residential and commercial sectors are the dominant areas of renewable energy utilization and commercialization research, the potential of new generations of renewable energy technologies will create significant opportunities to achieve low/zero energy-carbon emission buildings. The paper concludes by predicting the increasing rate of renewable energy and building articles compared to energy articles by 2030, emphasizing the critical role of research in advancing sustainable energy solutions. This data mining analysis helps to identify the current gaps and opportunities. Therefore, great potential will be created to develop and commercialize a new generation of technologies in this industry.

摘要

本文探讨了生物质能和太阳能在低/零能耗和碳排放领域的现状和未来前景。其数据来源是发表在 Scopus 数据库中的已索引文章。通过分析 Vosviewer 软件中提取的文章,发现了四个主要的研究领域:可持续发展、经济和管理问题、方法、算法、建模技术,以及可再生能源及其来源和类型。在这四个部分中,都观察到了第三代光伏技术(半透明太阳能电池)、有机太阳能电池和藻类方面的研究空白。作为研究的一部分,使用 Vosviewer 软件进行了高级文献计量分析,从 Scopus 中检查了 34129 篇文章,并结合谷歌专利进行了专利分析,以及文献计量分析。机器学习表明,未来所有能源领域的文章中,大约有 9%将是关于建筑的文章,其中四分之一将是可再生能源领域的文章。虽然住宅和商业部门是可再生能源利用和商业化研究的主要领域,但新一代可再生能源技术的潜力将为实现低/零能耗-碳排放建筑创造重大机遇。本文通过预测 2030 年可再生能源和建筑文章与能源文章的增长率,强调了研究在推进可持续能源解决方案方面的关键作用,得出结论。这项数据挖掘分析有助于确定当前的差距和机遇。因此,在这个行业中开发和商业化新一代技术将创造巨大的潜力。

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