Cardiovascular Outcomes Research Laboratories, University of California, Los Angeles, CA. Electronic address: https://twitter.com/sarasakowitz.
Cardiovascular Outcomes Research Laboratories, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; Department of Surgery, University of Colorado, Aurora, CO.
Surgery. 2023 Oct;174(4):893-900. doi: 10.1016/j.surg.2023.06.028. Epub 2023 Aug 4.
A rapidly growing population, octogenarians are considered at high-risk for mortality and complications after cardiac surgery. Given the recent addition of failure to rescue as a Society of Thoracic Surgeons quality metric, a better understanding of patient and operative factors predictive of failure to rescue in this cohort is warranted.
The 2010-2020 Nationwide Readmissions Database was used to identify all patients ≥80 years undergoing first-time, elective coronary artery bypass grafting or concomitant valve operations. Patients experiencing failure to rescue, defined as mortality after a major or minor complication, were classified as Failure to Rescue (others: Non-Failure to Rescue). Multivariable regression models were developed to ascertain significant perioperative factors associated with failure to rescue.
Of ∼562,794 octogenarian patients, 76,473 (13.6%) developed complications. Of these, 7,055 (9.2%) experienced failure to rescue. The incidence of failure to rescue decreased across the study time course (9.7% in 2010 to 7.6% in 2019, P = .001). After risk adjustment, age (adjusted odds ratio, 1.05/year; 95% confidence interval, 1.03-1.07), female sex (adjusted odds ratio, 1.40; 95% confidence interval, 1.27-1.53), congestive heart failure (adjusted odds ratio, 1.54; 95% confidence interval, 1.38-1.71), late-stage kidney disease (adjusted odds ratio, 2.38; 95% confidence interval, 1.79-3.17), liver disease (adjusted odds ratio, 9.59; 95% confidence interval, 8.17-11.26), and cerebrovascular disease (adjusted odds ratio, 2.42; 95% confidence interval, 2.12-2.76) were associated with failure to rescue. Relative to isolated coronary artery bypass grafting, combined coronary artery bypass grafting-valve (adjusted odds ratio, 1.67; 95% confidence interval, 1.43-1.95) and multi-valve procedures (adjusted odds ratio, 2.23; 95% confidence interval, 1.75-2.85) were linked with greater odds of failure to rescue. There was no association between failure to rescue and hospital volume.
Despite improvements in perioperative management, failure to rescue occurs in ∼9% of octogenarians undergoing elective cardiac operations. Although incidence has declined over the past decade, the continued prevalence of failure to rescue underscores the need for novel risk assessments and targeted interventions.
随着人口的快速增长,80 岁以上的老年人在心脏手术后死亡率和并发症的风险较高。鉴于失败救援最近被纳入胸外科医生学会的质量指标,因此有必要更好地了解预测该人群中失败救援的患者和手术因素。
使用 2010-2020 年全国再入院数据库确定所有 80 岁以上首次接受择期冠状动脉旁路移植术或同时进行瓣膜手术的患者。将经历失败救援的患者(定义为出现重大或轻微并发症后的死亡)分为失败救援组(其他:未失败救援组)。采用多变量回归模型确定与失败救援相关的显著围手术期因素。
在约 562794 名 80 岁以上的患者中,76473 名(13.6%)发生并发症。其中,7055 名(9.2%)发生失败救援。在整个研究过程中,失败救援的发生率呈下降趋势(2010 年为 9.7%,2019 年为 7.6%,P<0.001)。经过风险调整后,年龄(调整后的优势比,1.05/年;95%置信区间,1.03-1.07)、女性(调整后的优势比,1.40;95%置信区间,1.27-1.53)、充血性心力衰竭(调整后的优势比,1.54;95%置信区间,1.38-1.71)、晚期肾病(调整后的优势比,2.38;95%置信区间,1.79-3.17)、肝脏疾病(调整后的优势比,9.59;95%置信区间,8.17-11.26)和脑血管疾病(调整后的优势比,2.42;95%置信区间,2.12-2.76)与失败救援相关。与单纯冠状动脉旁路移植术相比,冠状动脉旁路移植术联合瓣膜(调整后的优势比,1.67;95%置信区间,1.43-1.95)和多瓣膜手术(调整后的优势比,2.23;95%置信区间,1.75-2.85)与失败救援的可能性更高有关。失败救援与医院容量之间没有关联。
尽管围手术期管理有所改善,但在接受择期心脏手术的 80 岁以上老年人中,仍有约 9%发生失败救援。尽管在过去十年中发病率有所下降,但失败救援的持续流行突出表明需要新的风险评估和针对性干预。