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开发一种用于腹膜透析相关性腹膜炎治疗失败的临床风险评分系统。

Development of a clinical risk score system for peritoneal dialysis-associated peritonitis treatment failure.

机构信息

Department of Nephrology, Meizhou People' s Hospital, No. 63 Huangtang Road, 514000, Meizhou, Guangdong, China.

出版信息

BMC Nephrol. 2023 Aug 7;24(1):229. doi: 10.1186/s12882-023-03284-1.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to construct a clinical risk score system for peritoneal dialysis-associated peritonitis (PDAP) treatment failure to provide a theoretical basis for clinical workers.

METHODS

A total of 161 PDAP individuals admitted to our hospital were included, among whom 70 cases were in the treatment-improved group and 87 cases were in the treatment failure group. We compared the general condition, clinical manifestations, and laboratory examination indicators of the two groups of individuals, used multivariate logistic regression analysis to identify the factors influencing PDAP treatment failure, and developed a clinical risk score system. The diagnostic performance of the risk score system was evaluated utilizing the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.

RESULTS

Significant differences (P < 0.05) were observed between the two groups in terms of contamination, peritoneal fluid culture results, blood urea nitrogen (BUN) level, C-reactive protein (CRP) level, B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) level, average residual urine (RU) volume, and urea clearance rate (UCR). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that BUN level, CRP level, BNP level, average RU volume, and UCR were independent risk factors affecting PDAP patient treatment outcomes (P < 0.05). The ROC curve analysis of the risk score system for predicting treatment failure in PDAP individuals showed an area under the curve of 0.895 [95% confidence interval (0.847-0.943)]. The optimal cut-off point was 2.5 points, with corresponding sensitivity and specificity of 88.5% and 74.3%, separately.

CONCLUSION

BUN level, CRP level, BNP level, average RU volume, and UCR are independent risk factors for PDAP treatment failure. The clinical risk score system based on these five independent risk factors can accurately predict the risk of treatment failure in PDAP individuals.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在构建腹膜透析相关性腹膜炎(PDAP)治疗失败的临床风险评分系统,为临床工作者提供理论依据。

方法

共纳入我院 161 例 PDAP 患者,其中治疗好转组 70 例,治疗失败组 87 例。比较两组患者的一般情况、临床表现和实验室检查指标,采用多因素 logistic 回归分析 PDAP 治疗失败的影响因素,并构建临床风险评分系统。采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评估风险评分系统的诊断性能。

结果

两组患者的污染情况、腹腔液培养结果、血尿素氮(BUN)水平、C 反应蛋白(CRP)水平、B 型利钠肽(BNP)水平、平均残余尿量(RU)体积和尿素清除率(UCR)比较差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。多因素 logistic 回归分析显示,BUN 水平、CRP 水平、BNP 水平、平均 RU 体积和 UCR 是影响 PDAP 患者治疗结局的独立危险因素(P<0.05)。PDAP 患者治疗失败风险评分系统的 ROC 曲线分析显示,曲线下面积为 0.895[95%置信区间(0.847-0.943)]。最佳截断点为 2.5 分,此时敏感性和特异性分别为 88.5%和 74.3%。

结论

BUN 水平、CRP 水平、BNP 水平、平均 RU 体积和 UCR 是 PDAP 治疗失败的独立危险因素。基于这五个独立危险因素的临床风险评分系统能够准确预测 PDAP 患者治疗失败的风险。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/52f8/10405427/141aa2a6c687/12882_2023_3284_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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