Suppr超能文献

一种理解沿海多灾害环境洪水风险的协同方法:通过洪水危险以及社会经济与自然脆弱性维度对双变量洪水风险地图进行评估。

A synergistic approach towards understanding flood risks over coastal multi-hazard environments: Appraisal of bivariate flood risk mapping through flood hazard, and socio-economic-cum-physical vulnerability dimensions.

作者信息

Thakur Dev Anand, Mohanty Mohit Prakash

机构信息

Department of Water Resources Development and Management, Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Roorkee 247667, India.

Department of Water Resources Development and Management, Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Roorkee 247667, India.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2023 Nov 25;901:166423. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.166423. Epub 2023 Aug 21.

Abstract

The dynamics of flood risk over Coastal Multi-hazard Catchments (CMC) exhibit bizarre characteristics. In these regions, flood hazards are governed by a complex interaction of multiple flood-inducing sources; varying in magnitudes, origin, and direction of propagation. Our conventional understanding of vulnerability may be obscure within these catchments. This can be attributable to the heterogeneous nature of various physical and socio-economic entities. The study proposes a comprehensive framework to quantify bivariate flood risks over a severely flood-prone region in India. The study considers flood hazards, along with vulnerabilities transpiring from (a) physical, (b) socio-economic, and (c) composite (combination of both) groups of indicators. To overcome data scarcity prevalent in CMCs, CHIRPS v2.0, a high-resolution Satellite Precipitation Product, along with other ancillary datasets, are forced to 1D2D coupled MIKE+ hydrodynamic model to simulate flood hazards. A set of 24 indicators are considered within the Shannon Entropy-cum-TOPSIS framework to derive three types of vulnerability. The marginal and compound contributions of hazard and each vulnerability type are represented through a novel concept of bivariate flood risk classifier at the village scale. We notice high and very-high flood hazards over the coastline and floodplains. An equitable influence of socio-economic vulnerability and hazards is reflected, as they cover 41 % of villages together under varied degrees of flood risks. The impacts of hazards are underscored in the presence of physical vulnerability, as the latter contributes to risks in about 72 % of villages. Composite vulnerability prevails its impact over 53 % of villages, dominating its influence on flood risks over hazards. The study delivers vital information to the global flood management community on the prudent selection of indicators, as their influence is markedly noticed on the overall flood risks. The diversified characteristics of flood risk inspire a rationalized implementation of structural and non-structural options in resource-constrained conditions.

摘要

沿海多灾种集水区(CMC)的洪水风险动态呈现出奇异的特征。在这些地区,洪水灾害受多种致洪源复杂相互作用的支配;这些致洪源在规模、起源和传播方向上各不相同。我们对脆弱性的传统理解在这些集水区可能并不清晰。这可能归因于各种自然和社会经济实体的异质性。该研究提出了一个综合框架,用于量化印度一个洪水极易发生地区的双变量洪水风险。该研究考虑了洪水灾害以及源自(a)自然、(b)社会经济和(c)综合(两者结合)指标组的脆弱性。为克服CMC中普遍存在的数据稀缺问题,将高分辨率卫星降水产品CHIRPS v2.0以及其他辅助数据集输入一维二维耦合MIKE+水动力模型,以模拟洪水灾害。在香农熵累积逼近理想解排序法(TOPSIS)框架内考虑一组24个指标,以得出三种类型的脆弱性。通过村尺度双变量洪水风险分类器这一新颖概念,体现了灾害和每种脆弱性类型的边际贡献与复合贡献。我们注意到海岸线和洪泛区存在高洪水灾害和极高洪水灾害。社会经济脆弱性和灾害的影响较为均衡,因为它们在不同程度的洪水风险下共同覆盖了41%的村庄。在存在自然脆弱性的情况下,灾害的影响更为突出,因为后者在约72%的村庄中导致了风险。综合脆弱性在53%以上的村庄中占主导地位,其对洪水风险的影响超过了灾害。该研究为全球洪水管理界提供了关于谨慎选择指标的重要信息,因为它们对总体洪水风险的影响显著。洪水风险的多样化特征促使在资源有限的条件下合理实施结构性和非结构性措施。

文献AI研究员

20分钟写一篇综述,助力文献阅读效率提升50倍。

立即体验

用中文搜PubMed

大模型驱动的PubMed中文搜索引擎

马上搜索

文档翻译

学术文献翻译模型,支持多种主流文档格式。

立即体验