Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University Hospital of Erlangen, Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg, 91054 Erlangen, Germany.
Department of Medical Biometry, Informatics and Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Bonn, 53127 Bonn, Germany.
Medicina (Kaunas). 2023 Jul 28;59(8):1385. doi: 10.3390/medicina59081385.
: The aim of this study was to investigate the prediction of adverse perinatal outcomes using the cerebroplacental (CPR) and umbilicocerebral (UCR) ratios in different cohorts of singleton pregnancies. : In this retrospective cohort study, we established our own Multiple of Median (MoM) for CPR and UCR. The predictive value for both ratios was studied in the following outcome parameters: emergency cesarean delivery, operative intervention (OI), OI due to fetal distress, 5-min Apgar < 7, admission to neonatal intensive care unit, and composite adverse perinatal outcome. The performance of the ratios was assessed in the following cohorts: total cohort (delivery ≥ 37 + 0 weeks gestation, all birth weight centiles), low-risk cohort (delivery ≥ 37 + 0 weeks gestation, birth weight ≥ 10. centile), prolonged pregnancy cohort (delivery ≥ 41 + 0 weeks gestation, birth weight ≥ 10. centile) and small-for-gestational-age fetuses (delivery ≥ 37 + 0 weeks gestation, birth weight < 10. centile). The underlying reference values for MoM were estimated using quantile regression depending on gestational age. Prediction performance was evaluated using logistic regression models assessing the corresponding Brier score, combining discriminatory power and calibration. : Overall, 3326 cases were included. Across all cohorts, in the case of a significant association between a studied outcome parameter and CPR, there was an association with UCR, respectively. The Brier score showed only minimal differences for both ratios. : Our study provides further evidence regarding predictive values of CPR and UCR. The results of our study suggest that reversal of CPR to UCR does not improve the prediction of adverse perinatal outcomes.
: 本研究旨在探讨不同单胎妊娠队列中使用脑胎盘(CPR)和脐胎盘(UCR)比值预测不良围产结局的能力。: 在这项回顾性队列研究中,我们建立了自己的 CPR 和 UCR 的中位数倍数(MoM)。研究了这两个比值在以下结局参数中的预测价值:紧急剖宫产、手术干预(OI)、因胎儿窘迫所致的 OI、5 分钟 Apgar 评分<7、新生儿重症监护病房入院和复合不良围产结局。在以下队列中评估了比值的性能:总队列(分娩≥37+0 周,所有出生体重百分位数)、低危队列(分娩≥37+0 周,出生体重≥第 10 百分位数)、延长妊娠队列(分娩≥41+0 周,出生体重≥第 10 百分位数)和小于胎龄儿(分娩≥37+0 周,出生体重<第 10 百分位数)。MoM 的基础参考值是根据胎龄使用分位数回归估计的。使用逻辑回归模型评估预测性能,评估相应的 Brier 评分,结合判别能力和校准。: 总体而言,纳入了 3326 例病例。在所有队列中,在研究的结局参数与 CPR 之间存在显著关联的情况下,与 UCR 之间存在关联。Brier 评分仅显示两个比值的差异极小。: 本研究进一步提供了关于 CPR 和 UCR 预测价值的证据。我们的研究结果表明,CPR 逆转至 UCR 并不能改善不良围产结局的预测。