非酒精性脂肪性肝炎评分模型的建立、验证与应用
Development, Validation, and Application of a Scoring Model for Non-alcoholic Steatohepatitis.
机构信息
Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Tianjin Medical University General Hospital, No. 154 Anshan Road, Heping District, Tianjin, 300052, China.
Department of General Surgery, Tianjin Medical University General Hospital, Tianjin, 300052, China.
出版信息
Obes Surg. 2023 Oct;33(10):3246-3255. doi: 10.1007/s11695-023-06804-y. Epub 2023 Aug 29.
PURPOSE
The aim of this study was to explore risk factors of NASH and then develop a non-invasive scoring model in Chinese patients with obesity. A scoring system was then applied to assess the effect of sleeve gastrectomy on NASH.
METHODS
A total of 243 patients with obesity were included and divided into NASH group and non-NASH group according to the pathological results of liver biopsy. Logistic regression was used to determine risk factors of NASH. A scoring model was derived by risk factors of NASH. Then, postoperative follow-up was performed in 70 patients.
RESULTS
Among the 243 patients, 118 (48.56%) patients showed NASH. Multivariate logistic regression identified aspartate aminotransferase (AST) (>21.50 IU/L), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) (<1.155mmol/L), and homeostasis model assessment (HOMA-IR) (>9.368) as independent risk factors of NASH. The model included above risk factors showed a negative predictive value (NPV) of 70.38% in the low-risk category and a positive predictive value (PPV) of 85.71% in the high-risk category, with the area under the receiver operator curve (AUROC) of 0.737. Bariatric surgery resulted in a sharp decline in AST and HOMA-IR and a significant increase of HDL-C. The points of scoring model were improved at 6 months after surgery.
CONCLUSION
A non-invasive scoring model was derived by the risk factors of NASH included AST, HDL-C, and HOMA-IR and applied to the postoperative follow-up. After sleeve gastrectomy, the above risk factors and points of scoring model were significantly improved.
目的
本研究旨在探讨非酒精性脂肪性肝炎(NASH)的危险因素,并为中国肥胖患者建立一种非侵入性的评分模型。然后应用评分系统评估袖状胃切除术对 NASH 的疗效。
方法
共纳入 243 例肥胖患者,根据肝活检病理结果分为 NASH 组和非 NASH 组。采用 logistic 回归确定 NASH 的危险因素,根据 NASH 的危险因素建立评分模型。然后对 70 例患者进行术后随访。
结果
243 例患者中,118 例(48.56%)患者存在 NASH。多因素 logistic 回归分析确定天冬氨酸氨基转移酶(AST)(>21.50IU/L)、高密度脂蛋白胆固醇(HDL-C)(<1.155mmol/L)和稳态模型评估(HOMA-IR)(>9.368)为 NASH 的独立危险因素。该模型纳入上述危险因素后,低危组的阴性预测值(NPV)为 70.38%,高危组的阳性预测值(PPV)为 85.71%,受试者工作特征曲线(ROC)下面积(AUROC)为 0.737。减重手术后,AST 和 HOMA-IR 显著下降,HDL-C 明显升高。术后 6 个月,评分模型的积分有所改善。
结论
本研究通过纳入 AST、HDL-C 和 HOMA-IR 等 NASH 的危险因素建立了一种非侵入性的评分模型,并应用于术后随访。袖状胃切除术后,上述危险因素和评分模型积分均显著改善。