Sekhar Sulakshana, Pratap Vinay, Gaurav Kumar, Toppo Samir, Kamal Anil K, Nair Rahul, Ashok Eesha, A Praveenkumar
General Surgery, Rajendra Institute of Medical Sciences (RIMS), Ranchi, IND.
Surgery, Rajendra Institute of Medical Sciences (RIMS), Ranchi, IND.
Cureus. 2023 Jul 30;15(7):e42683. doi: 10.7759/cureus.42683. eCollection 2023 Jul.
Background and objective Sepsis is a major health burden that leads to significant morbidity and mortality. Early diagnosis and severity prediction using various scoring systems can reduce the mortality rate, particularly in developing nations. There are two aims of this study. One is to evaluate the prognostic accuracy of the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score and serum lactate levels in patients with sepsis to predict mortality. The other aim is to evaluate the relationship between the SOFA score and lactate so that we may be able to use lactate as a surrogate predictor of organ dysfunction and mortality in sepsis. Methods An observational prognostic accuracy study was conducted in the Department of General Surgery, Intensive Care Unit (ICU), Rajendra Institute of Medical Sciences (RIMS), Ranchi, Jharkhand, India, between 1July 2021 and 1 October 2022. We selected 128 patients, calculated their SOFA and lactate levels, and divided them into survivors and non-survivors according to their outcomes after seven days of assessment. The SOFA score and serum lactate levels were assessed as predictors of mortality, and their correlation was studied. Results We observed a significant decreasing trend in the value of the mean SOFA, maximum SOFA, mean lactate, and maximum lactate among survivors, whereas an increasing trend for the same was observed in non-survivors. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis showed the best diagnostic accuracy of the mean lactate (area under the curve {AUC}=0.996, 95% confidence interval {CI}=0.964-1.00, p≤0.0001). The maximum lactate (AUC=0.987, 95% CI=0.949-0.999, p≤0.0001) and mean SOFA scores (AUC=0.986, 95% CI=0.948-0.999, p≤0.0001) were good at predicting the mortality in sepsis. A slightly lower diagnostic accuracy was found for the maximum SOFA score (AUC=0.969, 95% CI=0.923-0.992, p≤0.0001). There was a strong correlation between the mean lactate and the mean SOFA with a correlation coefficient of 0.883 and p=0.0001. A good correlation was found between maximum lactate and maximum SOFA too (correlation coefficient=0.873, p≤0.0001). Conclusion This study highlights the different predictors of mortality in the patients with sepsis. The maximum lactate was the most accurate in predicting mortality in sepsis. It also demonstrates how serum lactate, due to its strong correlation with the SOFA score, can be used in its place to predict mortality in sepsis and organ dysfunction.
脓毒症是一项重大的健康负担,会导致严重的发病率和死亡率。使用各种评分系统进行早期诊断和严重程度预测可以降低死亡率,尤其是在发展中国家。本研究有两个目的。一是评估序贯器官衰竭评估(SOFA)评分和血清乳酸水平对脓毒症患者死亡率预测的预后准确性。另一个目的是评估SOFA评分与乳酸之间的关系,以便我们能够将乳酸用作脓毒症中器官功能障碍和死亡率的替代预测指标。方法:于2021年7月1日至2022年10月1日在印度贾坎德邦兰契市拉金德拉医学科学研究所(RIMS)普通外科重症监护病房(ICU)进行了一项观察性预后准确性研究。我们选取了128例患者,计算他们的SOFA评分和乳酸水平,并根据评估7天后的结果将他们分为存活者和非存活者。将SOFA评分和血清乳酸水平作为死亡率的预测指标,并研究它们之间的相关性。结果:我们观察到存活者的平均SOFA值、最高SOFA值、平均乳酸值和最高乳酸值呈显著下降趋势,而非存活者则呈上升趋势。受试者工作特征(ROC)分析显示平均乳酸的诊断准确性最佳(曲线下面积{AUC}=0.996,95%置信区间{CI}=0.964 - 1.00,p≤0.0001)。最高乳酸(AUC = 0.987,95% CI = 0.949 - 0.999,p≤0.0001)和平均SOFA评分(AUC = 0.986,95% CI = 0.948 - 0.999,p≤0.0001)在预测脓毒症死亡率方面表现良好。最高SOFA评分的诊断准确性略低(AUC = 0.969,95% CI = 0.923 - 0.992,p≤0.0001)。平均乳酸与平均SOFA之间存在强相关性,相关系数为0.883,p = 0.0001。最高乳酸与最高SOFA之间也存在良好的相关性(相关系数 = 0.873,p≤0.0001)。结论:本研究突出了脓毒症患者死亡率的不同预测指标。最高乳酸在预测脓毒症死亡率方面最为准确。它还证明了由于血清乳酸与SOFA评分密切相关,可用于替代预测脓毒症死亡率和器官功能障碍。