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全球化是否能减轻选定新兴经济体的环境恶化?金融发展、经济增长、可再生能源消费和城市化作用的评估。

Does globalization mitigate environmental degradation in selected emerging economies? assessment of the role of financial development, economic growth, renewable energy consumption and urbanization.

机构信息

Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Department of Economics, Tekirdag Namik Kemal University, Tekirdağ, Turkey.

Vocational School of Social Sciences, Department of International Trade, Kayseri University, Kayseri, Turkey.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Sep;30(45):100340-100359. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-29467-9. Epub 2023 Aug 31.

Abstract

While the acceleration of globalization in newly developing (emerging) economies contributes positively to economic developments on the one hand, it is a research topic that can have an impact on environmental pollution on the other hand. Therefore, this study analyzes the impact of globalization on environmental pollution for 14 emerging economies in the 1991-2018 period by including economic growth, financial development, renewable energy consumption, and urbanization in the ecological footprint model. In addition to the AMG forecaster, Driscoll-Kraay, PCSE, and FGLS estimation techniques are used for long-term forecasting. Causal linkages among variables are analyzed by the Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel bootstrap causality test. The findings show that the series are cointegrated, that is, a long-term relationship between the variables. In the long term, globalization and renewable energy consumption reduce environmental pollution, while economic growth and financial development play a role in encouraging environmental pollution. Causality analysis enumerates a causality from economic growth and financial development to environmental pollution, as well as a two-way causality between globalization and environmental pollution and renewable energy consumption and environmental pollution. Empirical findings can offer important implications for policies that will reduce environmental pollution in these countries.

摘要

尽管新兴经济体(新兴)中全球化的加速一方面对经济发展有积极影响,但另一方面,它也是一个可能对环境污染产生影响的研究课题。因此,本研究通过在生态足迹模型中纳入经济增长、金融发展、可再生能源消费和城市化,分析了 1991-2018 年期间全球化对 14 个新兴经济体环境污染的影响。除了 AMG 预测器外,还使用了 Driscoll-Kraay、PCSE 和 FGLS 估计技术进行长期预测。通过 Dumitrescu-Hurlin 面板自举因果检验分析变量之间的因果关系。研究结果表明,这些序列是协整的,即变量之间存在长期关系。从长期来看,全球化和可再生能源消费减少了环境污染,而经济增长和金融发展则在鼓励环境污染方面发挥了作用。因果分析列举了经济增长和金融发展对环境污染的因果关系,以及全球化和环境污染、可再生能源消费和环境污染之间的双向因果关系。实证结果可为这些国家减少环境污染的政策提供重要启示。

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