Carpenter T E
Am J Epidemiol. 1986 Nov;124(5):843-50.
Decision analysis using decision trees enables the medical decision maker to simplify and solve complex problems. The technique, however, becomes cumbersome when the decision maker attempts to perform sensitivity analysis on the problem. This paper describes a computer program, written in PASCAL, to construct, modify, and perform deterministic and stochastic simulations and risk analysis on a hypothetical, decision-analysis problem. The deterministic version can be run on microcomputers with CP/M, PC-DOS, or MS-DOS operating systems, and the deterministic/stochastic version requires a PC-DOS or MS-DOS operating system.
使用决策树的决策分析能够使医学决策者简化并解决复杂问题。然而,当决策者试图对该问题进行敏感性分析时,这项技术就变得繁琐起来。本文描述了一个用PASCAL编写的计算机程序,用于构建、修改并对一个假设的决策分析问题进行确定性和随机性模拟以及风险分析。确定性版本可以在配备CP/M、PC-DOS或MS-DOS操作系统的微型计算机上运行,而确定性/随机性版本则需要PC-DOS或MS-DOS操作系统。