McCormick D B, Schach S R, Koeslag J H
Am J Hum Genet. 1986 Oct;39(4):477-88.
A computer simulation model was developed to study the effects of various marital mores on the incidence of lethal autosomal recessive genes in populations that are subdivided into small isolates. The problem was studied in isolates where initial generation size was 30, 40, and 50 individuals. In each of these, the mean fertility rate was varied from 2.3 to 2.7 surviving (to adulthood) children per couple whose marriage had been contracted in accordance with the prevailing convention: marriage between first cousins and siblings prohibited; marriage between siblings prohibited; marriage allowed between any individuals; marriage prohibited between siblings but encouraged between cousins; and marriage encouraged between siblings. In all cases, the mean gene frequency in generation 20 was lower than that predicted by the deterministic model with random mating in an unsubdivided population of infinite size, due to gene loss through random drift (to zero) in many of the isolates. The mores that encouraged consanguineous marriages had the lowest final lethal-gene frequencies. Random mating produced intermediate values, and the restrictive mores, the highest final frequencies. The deterministic model (assuming infinite population size and random mating) predictions of the final gene frequency were exceeded only if there was reproductive compensation. It is concluded that restrictive marital mores significantly reduce the selective pressures on lethal recessive genes in small isolates, but that this is counteracted by the increased rate of gene loss through random drift.
开发了一种计算机模拟模型,以研究各种婚姻习俗对细分为小隔离群体的人群中致死性常染色体隐性基因发生率的影响。在初始群体规模为30、40和50人的隔离群体中研究了该问题。在每一个这样的群体中,按照以下流行习俗缔结婚姻的夫妇,其平均生育率从每对夫妇2.3个存活(至成年)子女到2.7个存活(至成年)子女不等:禁止表亲与兄弟姐妹之间通婚;禁止兄弟姐妹之间通婚;允许任何个体之间通婚;禁止兄弟姐妹之间通婚,但鼓励表亲之间通婚;鼓励兄弟姐妹之间通婚。在所有情况下,由于许多隔离群体中基因通过随机漂变(至零)而丢失,第20代的平均基因频率低于在无限规模的未细分群体中随机交配的确定性模型所预测的频率。鼓励近亲结婚的习俗导致最终致死基因频率最低。随机交配产生中间值,而限制性习俗导致最终频率最高。只有当存在生殖补偿时,确定性模型(假设群体规模无限且随机交配)对最终基因频率的预测才会被超过。得出的结论是,限制性婚姻习俗显著降低了小隔离群体中致死隐性基因的选择压力,但这被随机漂变导致的基因丢失率增加所抵消。