急性失代偿心力衰竭患者的预后临床表型。

Prognostic Clinical Phenotypes of Patients with Acute Decompensated Heart Failure.

机构信息

College of Science, School of Mathematics, Statistics, and Computer Science, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran.

Department of Cardiology, Tehran Heart Center, School of Medicine, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.

出版信息

High Blood Press Cardiovasc Prev. 2023 Sep;30(5):457-466. doi: 10.1007/s40292-023-00598-x. Epub 2023 Sep 5.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

Acute decompensated heart failure (AHF) is a clinical syndrome with a poor prognosis.

AIM

This study was conducted to identify clusters of inpatients with acute decompensated heart failure that shared similarities in their clinical features.

METHODS

We analyzed data from a cohort of patients with acute decompensated heart failure hospitalized between February 2013 and January 2017 in a Department of Cardiology. Patients were clustered using factorial analysis of mixed data. The clusters (phenotypes) were then compared using log-rank tests and profiled using a logistic model. In total, 458 patients (255; 55.7% male) with a mean (SD) age of 72.7 (11.1) years were included in the analytic dataset. The demographic, clinical, and laboratory features were included in the cluster analysis.

RESULTS

The two clusters were significantly different in terms of time to mortality and re-hospitalization (all P < 0.001). Cluster profiling yielded an accurate discriminating model (AUC = 0.934). Typically, high-risk patients were elderly females with a lower estimated glomerular filtration rate and hemoglobin on admission compared to the low-risk phenotype. Moreover, the high-risk phenotype had a higher likelihood of diabetes type 2, transient ischemic attack/cerebrovascular accident, previous heart failure or ischemic heart disease, and a higher serum potassium concentration on admission. Patients with the high-risk phenotype were of higher New York Heart Association functional classes and more positive in their medication history.

CONCLUSIONS

There are two phenotypes among patients with decompensated heart failure, high-risk and low-risk for mortality and re-hospitalization. They can be distinguished by easy-to-measure patients' characteristics.

摘要

简介

急性失代偿性心力衰竭(AHF)是一种预后不良的临床综合征。

目的

本研究旨在确定具有相似临床特征的急性失代偿性心力衰竭住院患者的聚类。

方法

我们分析了 2013 年 2 月至 2017 年 1 月期间心内科收治的急性失代偿性心力衰竭患者队列的数据。使用混合数据因子分析对患者进行聚类。然后使用对数秩检验比较聚类(表型),并使用逻辑模型进行分析。共纳入 458 例(255 例;55.7%为男性)平均(SD)年龄为 72.7(11.1)岁的患者进入分析数据集。聚类分析包括人口统计学、临床和实验室特征。

结果

两个聚类在死亡率和再入院时间方面存在显著差异(均 P < 0.001)。聚类分析得出了一个准确的判别模型(AUC = 0.934)。通常,高危患者为老年女性,入院时估计肾小球滤过率和血红蛋白较低,与低危表型相比。此外,高危表型发生 2 型糖尿病、短暂性脑缺血发作/脑血管意外、既往心力衰竭或缺血性心脏病的可能性更高,入院时血清钾浓度也更高。高危表型患者的纽约心脏协会功能分级更高,用药史更积极。

结论

失代偿性心力衰竭患者存在两种表型,即高死亡率和高再入院率表型和低死亡率和低再入院率表型。可以通过易于测量的患者特征来区分它们。

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