急性失代偿后在心衰病房管理的非常老年患者的 1 年结局预测因素。

Predictors of 1-year outcome in very old patients managed in a Heart Failure Unit after an acute decompensation.

机构信息

Research Unit of Medicine of Aging, Department of Experimental and Clinical Medicine, University of Florence, Viale G. Pieraccini 6, 50139, Florence, Italy.

Heart Failure Unit, Division of Geriatric Medicine and Intensive Care Unit, Department of Medicine and Geriatrics, Careggi University Hospital, Florence, Italy.

出版信息

Eur Geriatr Med. 2022 Dec;13(6):1417-1424. doi: 10.1007/s41999-022-00679-5. Epub 2022 Oct 13.

Abstract

PURPOSE

Consensus exits about the clinical benefits of an early referral to multidisciplinary Heart Failure Unit-HFU for old frail patients with HF. Nevertheless, few data are present regarding the prognosis and the predictors of outcome in oldest-old patients managed in this clinical setting. The aim of present study is to identify predictors of 1-year all-cause mortality in very old patients enrolled in our multidisciplinary HFU after an episode of acute decompensated HF.

METHODS

This study is a retro-prospective, single-center cohort analysis of patients managed in our multidisciplinary HFU. Inclusion criterion was diagnosis of HF according to ESC guidelines and age ≥ 85 years, while no exclusion criteria were pre-defined. Baseline clinical and comprehensive geriatric evaluations were recorded during the first visit and follow-up visits were repeated according to our standardized timetable protocol. Primary end-point was 1-year all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

We enrolled 75 patients aged 89.2 ± 2.8 years; 39 (52.0%) were females. During 1-year follow-up, seventeen patients (22.7%) died. Residual congestion with higher level (> 4) of EVEREST score (HR 1.24: 95% CI 1.04-1.47) and living alone (HR 3.34: 95% CI 1.16-9.64) resulted the two independent predictors of 1-year all-cause mortality at the multivariate Cox regression model. Finally, patients living alone and with an EVEREST score > 4 experienced a worse prognosis as clearly described by a steeper descendent Kaplan-Meier curve.

CONCLUSION

In a very old population of patients after an acute decompensated HF, residual congestion and social isolation as living alone identify those with high risk of 1-year death.

摘要

目的

对于心力衰竭(HF)的老年体弱患者,早期转至多学科心力衰竭单元(HFU)的临床获益已达成共识。然而,关于在这种临床环境下管理的最年长患者的预后和结局预测因素的数据很少。本研究的目的是确定在我们的多学科 HFU 中因急性失代偿性 HF 发作而接受治疗的非常高龄患者中,1 年全因死亡率的预测因素。

方法

这是一项回顾性、单中心队列分析研究,纳入了在我们的多学科 HFU 中接受治疗的患者。纳入标准为根据 ESC 指南诊断为 HF 且年龄≥85 岁,而没有预先定义排除标准。在首次就诊时记录基线临床和全面老年评估,并根据我们的标准化随访时间表重复随访。主要终点为 1 年全因死亡率。

结果

我们共纳入了 75 名年龄为 89.2±2.8 岁的患者;其中 39 名(52.0%)为女性。在 1 年的随访期间,17 名患者(22.7%)死亡。残留充血与 EVEREST 评分较高水平(>4)(HR 1.24:95%CI 1.04-1.47)和独居(HR 3.34:95%CI 1.16-9.64)是多变量 Cox 回归模型中 1 年全因死亡率的两个独立预测因素。最后,独居且 EVEREST 评分>4 的患者预后更差,这一点可以通过更陡峭的 Kaplan-Meier 曲线清楚地描述。

结论

在急性失代偿性 HF 后的非常高龄患者人群中,残留充血和社会孤立(独居)可识别出 1 年死亡风险较高的患者。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6843/9556287/a1413e2bf530/41999_2022_679_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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