International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT), Texcoco, Mexico.
International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT), Harare, Zimbabwe.
Mol Plant. 2023 Oct 2;16(10):1590-1611. doi: 10.1016/j.molp.2023.09.003. Epub 2023 Sep 7.
Climate change poses daunting challenges to agricultural production and food security. Rising temperatures, shifting weather patterns, and more frequent extreme events have already demonstrated their effects on local, regional, and global agricultural systems. Crop varieties that withstand climate-related stresses and are suitable for cultivation in innovative cropping systems will be crucial to maximize risk avoidance, productivity, and profitability under climate-changed environments. We surveyed 588 expert stakeholders to predict current and novel traits that may be essential for future pearl millet, sorghum, maize, groundnut, cowpea, and common bean varieties, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa. We then review the current progress and prospects for breeding three prioritized future-essential traits for each of these crops. Experts predict that most current breeding priorities will remain important, but that rates of genetic gain must increase to keep pace with climate challenges and consumer demands. Importantly, the predicted future-essential traits include innovative breeding targets that must also be prioritized; for example, (1) optimized rhizosphere microbiome, with benefits for P, N, and water use efficiency, (2) optimized performance across or in specific cropping systems, (3) lower nighttime respiration, (4) improved stover quality, and (5) increased early vigor. We further discuss cutting-edge tools and approaches to discover, validate, and incorporate novel genetic diversity from exotic germplasm into breeding populations with unprecedented precision, accuracy, and speed. We conclude that the greatest challenge to developing crop varieties to win the race between climate change and food security might be our innovativeness in defining and boldness to breed for the traits of tomorrow.
气候变化给农业生产和粮食安全带来了巨大挑战。不断上升的气温、变幻莫测的天气模式以及更频繁的极端事件已经对当地、区域和全球农业系统产生了影响。能够承受与气候相关压力并适合在创新种植系统中种植的作物品种,对于在气候变化环境下最大限度地规避风险、提高生产力和盈利能力至关重要。我们调查了 588 位专家利益相关者,以预测当前和新型特性,这些特性可能对未来的珍珠粟、高粱、玉米、落花生、豇豆和菜豆品种至关重要,尤其是在撒哈拉以南非洲地区。然后,我们审查了目前为这些作物中的每一种优先培育三个未来必备特性的进展和前景。专家预测,大多数当前的培育重点仍将很重要,但遗传增益的速度必须提高,以适应气候挑战和消费者需求。重要的是,预测的未来必备特性包括必须优先考虑的创新性培育目标;例如,(1)优化根际微生物组,有利于磷、氮和水的利用效率,(2)优化跨或特定种植系统的性能,(3)降低夜间呼吸作用,(4)提高秸秆质量,以及(5)提高早期活力。我们进一步讨论了尖端工具和方法,以发现、验证和以前所未有的精度、准确性和速度将来自外来种质的新型遗传多样性纳入培育群体。我们得出的结论是,开发应对气候变化和粮食安全竞赛的作物品种的最大挑战可能是我们在定义和培育明天所需特性方面的创新性和大胆性。