Heidel Mackenzie M M, Robinovitch Stephen N, Yang Yijian
Injury Prevention and Mobility Lab, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, BC, Canada.
Department of Sports Science and Physical Education, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; CUHK Jockey Club Institute of Ageing, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
J Am Med Dir Assoc. 2023 Dec;24(12):1990-1995.e1. doi: 10.1016/j.jamda.2023.08.006. Epub 2023 Sep 7.
Residents in long-term care (LTC) are at high risk for falls, and falls in LTC often result in impact to the head, with clinical consequences that may be challenging to detect. We examined whether the survival of LTC residents associates with falls and fall-related head impacts.
Prospective cohort study.
This study was conducted in 2 Vancouver-area LTC homes where falls were captured on video from surveillance cameras. A total of 232 participants (133 females, 99 males) experienced at least 1 fall captured on video, among whom 84% (n = 194) died between January 2011 and January 2020. The mean age at death was 86.5 (SD = 8.5) years, and the mean survival time after enrollment to this study was 3.8 (SD = 2.1) years.
Univariable and multivariable models were used to determine how survival time depended on the rate of falls (falls per 365 days), the percentage of falls on video involving head impact, sex, age at death, and baseline physical and cognitive status.
On average, participants experienced 6.2 (SD = 7.0) falls per 365 days, and 36.9% (SD = 36.3) of video-captured falls resulted in head impact. In multivariable analyses, an increase of 1 fall per 365 days resulted in a 4.2% higher risk of death [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.042, 95% CI 1.023-1.062, P < .001]. A 1% increase in falls involving head impact resulted in an 0.5% higher risk of death (HR 1.005, 95% CI 1.001-1.010, P = .015). Participants who experienced head impact in all video-captured falls had a 50% higher risk for death than those who always avoided head impact.
Survival in LTC is associated with the rate of falls and percentage of falls involving head impact. Improved efforts are required to prevent falls in LTC, and reduce the frequency and consequences of head impacts during falls (eg, through compliant flooring).
长期护理(LTC)机构中的居民跌倒风险很高,且LTC机构中的跌倒常常导致头部受伤,其临床后果可能难以察觉。我们研究了LTC机构居民的生存情况是否与跌倒及与跌倒相关的头部撞击有关。
前瞻性队列研究。
本研究在温哥华地区的2所LTC机构中进行,通过监控摄像头的视频捕捉跌倒情况。共有232名参与者(133名女性,99名男性)经历了至少1次视频捕捉到的跌倒,其中84%(n = 194)在2011年1月至2020年1月期间死亡。死亡时的平均年龄为86.5(标准差 = 8.5)岁,参与本研究后的平均生存时间为3.8(标准差 = 2.1)年。
使用单变量和多变量模型来确定生存时间如何取决于跌倒发生率(每365天的跌倒次数)、视频捕捉到的跌倒中涉及头部撞击的百分比、性别、死亡年龄以及基线身体和认知状况。
参与者平均每365天经历6.2(标准差 = 7.0)次跌倒,视频捕捉到的跌倒中有36.9%(标准差 = 36.3)导致头部撞击。在多变量分析中,每365天跌倒次数增加1次会导致死亡风险升高4.2%[风险比(HR)= 1.042,95%置信区间1.023 - 1.062,P <.001]。涉及头部撞击的跌倒百分比每增加1%会导致死亡风险升高0.5%(HR 1.005,95%置信区间1.001 - 1.010,P =.015)。在所有视频捕捉到的跌倒中都经历头部撞击的参与者比那些总是避免头部撞击的参与者死亡风险高50%。
LTC机构中的生存情况与跌倒发生率以及涉及头部撞击的跌倒百分比有关。需要加大力度预防LTC机构中的跌倒,并减少跌倒期间头部撞击的频率和后果(例如,通过使用合规的地板)。