School of Health Systems and Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, 0002, South Africa.
Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, 0002, South Africa.
Sci Rep. 2023 Oct 3;13(1):16645. doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-43589-7.
We assessed the impact of the pandemic on TB diagnostics at primary healthcare clinics (PHCs) during the different stages of COVID-19 in eThekwini district, South Africa. Data from the District Health Information System (DHIS) were used to conduct an interrupted time series analysis that assessed the changes in TB investigations and confirmed TB cases during four pandemic periods: lockdown and the subsequent three peaks of infection compared to the two years prior (2018-2022). The initial lockdown resulted in - 45% (95% CI - 55 to - 31) and - 40% (95% CI - 59 to - 28) immediate declines in TB investigations and confirmed cases, respectively. Both indicators showed substantial recovery in the months after the first wave (p < 0.05). However, while TB investigations sustained smaller declines throughout the pandemic, they rebounded and surpassed pre-COVID-19 levels by the end of the investigation period. On the other hand, confirmed cases experienced reductions that persisted until the end of the investigation period. TB diagnostic services at PHCs were considerably disrupted by COVID-19, with the confirmation of cases being the most adversely affected throughout the pandemic. The reasons for these persistent declines in TB detection must be determined to inform the development of sustainable diagnostic systems that are capable of withstanding future pandemics.
我们评估了 COVID-19 大流行在南非 eThekwini 地区不同阶段对初级保健诊所(PHC)结核病诊断的影响。利用来自地区卫生信息系统(DHIS)的数据进行了一项中断时间序列分析,评估了在四个大流行期间结核病调查和确诊结核病病例的变化:封锁以及随后的三个感染高峰与前两年(2018-2022 年)相比。最初的封锁导致结核病调查和确诊病例分别立即下降了 45%(95%CI -55 至 -31)和 40%(95%CI -59 至 -28)。这两个指标在第一波之后的几个月都有了实质性的恢复(p<0.05)。然而,虽然结核病调查在整个大流行期间的下降幅度较小,但在调查结束时,它们已经反弹并超过了 COVID-19 之前的水平。另一方面,确诊病例的数量持续下降,直到调查结束。COVID-19 对 PHC 的结核病诊断服务造成了相当大的干扰,确诊病例受到的影响最为严重。必须确定这些持续下降的原因,以便为建立能够抵御未来大流行的可持续诊断系统提供信息。