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索马里的环境污染与预期寿命:可再生能源、城市化和经济增长是否重要?

Environmental pollution and life expectancy in Somalia: do renewable energy, urbanization, and economic growth matter?

机构信息

Faculty of Economics, SIMAD University, Mogadishu, Somalia.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Nov;30(51):110528-110538. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-30114-6. Epub 2023 Oct 4.

Abstract

Ensuring good quality of health and longevity became a topical for policymakers and academicians. Various determinants, including socio-economic factors, have been discussed in the literature. Nevertheless, the empirical studies on this issue are scanty in least-developed countries like Somalia where the health indicators are poor. In this regard, this undertaking examines the impacts of renewable energy, urbanization, environmental pollution, and economic growth on life expectancy in Somalia for the period straddling 1990-2016. The study uses a novelty machine learning method - Kernel regularized least square (KRLS) method. The empirical results indicated that renewable energy, economic growth, and urbanization are statistically significant; whereas, environmental pollution is statistically insignificant. Renewable energy, economic growth, and urbanization exert positive effects on life expectancy in Somalia and have increasing marginal effects. Besides, bidirectional causality between renewable energy and life expectancy, life expectancy and economic growth, and environmental pollution and life expectancy are established. Moreover, unidirectional causality from urbanization to life expectancy is also observed. The study suggests that a budgetary revision be made to sort out health-related concerns resulting from a lack of healthcare services and poor sanitation for improving the longevity of the people. Additionally, investments in clean energy are necessary as will improve health outcomes without compromising economic growth and life expectancy.

摘要

确保良好的健康和长寿质量成为政策制定者和学者关注的话题。包括社会经济因素在内的各种决定因素已在文献中讨论过。然而,在像索马里这样卫生指标较差的最不发达国家,关于这个问题的实证研究很少。在这方面,本研究考察了 1990 年至 2016 年期间可再生能源、城市化、环境污染和经济增长对索马里预期寿命的影响。该研究使用了一种新颖的机器学习方法——核正则化最小二乘法(KRLS)方法。实证结果表明,可再生能源、经济增长和城市化在统计上是显著的;而环境污染在统计上是不显著的。可再生能源、经济增长和城市化对索马里的预期寿命有积极影响,且具有递增的边际效应。此外,在可再生能源和预期寿命、预期寿命和经济增长以及环境污染和预期寿命之间建立了双向因果关系。此外,还观察到城市化与预期寿命之间存在单向因果关系。本研究建议进行预算修订,以解决由于缺乏医疗服务和卫生条件差而导致的与健康相关的问题,以提高人民的预期寿命。此外,需要投资清洁能源,因为这将在不影响经济增长和预期寿命的情况下改善健康结果。

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