Cheong Harin, Roh Byung-Yoon, Kumagai Akiko, Oh Sehyun, Lee Sang-Seob
Department of Forensic Medicine, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, 06591, Republic of Korea.
Forensic Medicine Division, National Forensic Service Gwangju Institute, Jangseong-gun, 57248, Republic of Korea.
Heliyon. 2023 Sep 7;9(9):e19957. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e19957. eCollection 2023 Sep.
This cross-sectional study aimed to evaluate the applicability of the London Atlas for age estimation in the Korean population by comparing with Lee's and Willems' methods. Dental ages of 475 orthopantomographs from Korean individuals aged 4-15 years (mean 10.32 ± 3.31 years) were estimated using the London Atlas, Lee's and Willems' methods. Correlation between dental and chronological age was determined using Pearson's correlation coefficient, and the statistical difference between dental and chronological age was analyzed using a paired -test. The bias (mean differences), mean absolute error, and root mean square error between dental and chronological age, stratified by age groups and estimation methods, were calculated. Differences in bias and absolute error between sexes were scrutinized using an independent-samples -test. Age estimates of the three tested methods were combined and compared to those of each individual method. The London Atlas and Willems methods resulted in overestimations, whereas the Lee method led to an underestimation on the entire sample. The overall accuracy was observed in the order of Lee's method, the London Atlas, and Willems' method. The London Atlas demonstrated superior consistency of estimation performance across age groups and no significant differences in estimation performance between sexes. The combination of estimates from the London Atlas and Lee's method resulted in an enhancement in bias and accuracy. We conclude that the London Atlas, due to its bias and accuracy comparable to Lee's and Willems' methods, is applicable for forensic practice in the Korean population.
这项横断面研究旨在通过与李氏法和威廉姆斯法进行比较,评估《伦敦图谱》在韩国人群中进行年龄估计的适用性。使用《伦敦图谱》、李氏法和威廉姆斯法对475名4至15岁(平均10.32±3.31岁)韩国个体的口腔全景片进行牙龄估计。使用皮尔逊相关系数确定牙龄与实际年龄之间的相关性,并使用配对t检验分析牙龄与实际年龄之间的统计学差异。计算按年龄组和估计方法分层的牙龄与实际年龄之间的偏差(平均差异)、平均绝对误差和均方根误差。使用独立样本t检验仔细研究性别之间偏差和绝对误差的差异。将三种测试方法的年龄估计值合并,并与每种单独方法的估计值进行比较。在整个样本中,《伦敦图谱》法和威廉姆斯法导致高估,而李氏法导致低估。总体准确性按李氏法、《伦敦图谱》法和威廉姆斯法的顺序排列。《伦敦图谱》在各年龄组中显示出估计性能的卓越一致性,且在估计性能上性别之间无显著差异。《伦敦图谱》法和李氏法的估计值相结合,在偏差和准确性方面有所提高。我们得出结论,由于《伦敦图谱》的偏差和准确性与李氏法和威廉姆斯法相当,因此适用于韩国人群的法医实践。