Heiler Georg, Pham Tuan, Korbel Jan, Wachs Johannes, Thurner Stefan
Complexity Science Hub Vienna, Vienna, Austria.
Technical University Vienna, Vienna, Austria.
Sci Rep. 2023 Oct 11;13(1):17160. doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-43552-6.
We use a comprehensive longitudinal dataset on criminal acts over 6 years in a European country to study specialization in criminal careers. We present a method to cluster crime categories by their relative co-occurrence within criminal careers, deriving a natural, data-based taxonomy of criminal specialization. Defining specialists as active criminals who stay within one category of offending behavior, we study their socio-demographic attributes, geographic range, and positions in their collaboration networks relative to their generalist counterparts. Compared to generalists, specialists tend to be older, are more likely to be women, operate within a smaller geographic range, and collaborate in smaller, more tightly-knit local networks. We observe that specialists are more intensely embedded in criminal networks, suggesting a potential source of self-reinforcing dynamics in criminal careers.
我们使用一个关于欧洲某国6年犯罪行为的综合纵向数据集来研究犯罪生涯中的专业化。我们提出了一种方法,通过犯罪生涯中犯罪类别之间的相对共现情况对其进行聚类,从而得出一种基于数据的自然犯罪专业化分类法。将专家定义为只从事一类犯罪行为的活跃罪犯,我们研究了他们的社会人口统计学特征、地理范围以及相对于通才同行在合作网络中的位置。与通才相比,专家往往年龄更大,女性比例更高,活动地理范围更小,且在规模更小、联系更紧密的本地网络中合作。我们观察到,专家在犯罪网络中的嵌入程度更深,这表明犯罪生涯中可能存在自我强化动态的一个潜在来源。