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2013 年至 2020 年气象因素和极端天气事件对每日干眼症门诊就诊量的短期影响:中国乌鲁木齐的一项时间序列研究。

Short-term effect of meteorological factors and extreme weather events on daily outpatient visits for dry eye disease between 2013 and 2020: a time-series study in Urumqi, China.

机构信息

Department of Ophthalmology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, 678 Furong Road, Hefei, 230601, China.

Department of Clinical Medicine, The Second School of Clinical Medicine, Anhui Medical University, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, 230032, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Nov;30(52):111967-111981. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-29651-x. Epub 2023 Oct 11.


DOI:10.1007/s11356-023-29651-x
PMID:37821738
Abstract

Dry eye disease (DED) is a common disorder of tear secretion on the ocular surface caused by multiple factors with dry eyes as the main symptom, but until now studies focusing on relationship between local meteorological factors and ocular surface diseases in Urumqi are very limited. Besides, the effects of long-term and extreme meteorological factors on DED and the lag effect have not been fully evaluated. Electronic case information of 9970 DED outpatients from the Ophthalmology Department of the First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University (Urumqi, Xinjiang, China) between January 1, 2013, and December 31, 2020, was screened and analyzed. We used a time-series analysis design and a quasi-Poisson generalized linear regression model combined with a distributed lagged nonlinear model (DLNM) to fit the effects of exposure to different meteorological factors and extreme weather on DED outpatient visits. Subgroup analyses were further performed for gender, age, and season. The results showed that exposure to extremely low mean temperature (P1:RR = 1.18), atmospheric pressure (P1:RR = 1.11), and extremely high relative humidity (P99:RR = 1.35) were the risk factors, while extremely high atmospheric pressure (P90:RR = 0.883) and extremely low humidity (P10:RR = 0.856) appeared to have a positive effect on reduced risk of DED. Relative humidity exhibited a 1-day lag effect (RR = 1.06). Increased mean temperature positively affected female DED patients (RR = 0.761) with similar effects in the cold season (RR = 0.926). However, elevated relative humidity had a negative effect on female patients (RR = 1.14). We conducted the first large sample size time-series analysis study in this major city at the farthest distance from the ocean in the world and in northwest China, confirming the association of DED outpatient visits with the remaining three meteorological factors except wind speed in Urumqi, and a larger sample size multi-center epidemiological study with a longer duration is still needed.

摘要

干眼症(DED)是一种常见的眼表泪液分泌异常疾病,由多种因素引起,以干眼为主要症状,但截至目前,针对乌鲁木齐地区局部气象因素与眼表疾病关系的研究非常有限。此外,长期和极端气象因素对 DED 的影响及其滞后效应尚未得到充分评估。我们筛选并分析了 2013 年 1 月 1 日至 2020 年 12 月 31 日期间新疆医科大学第一附属医院眼科 9970 例 DED 门诊患者的电子病历信息。我们采用时间序列分析设计和结合分布滞后非线性模型(DLNM)的准泊松广义线性回归模型,拟合不同气象因素和极端天气暴露对 DED 门诊就诊的影响。进一步进行了性别、年龄和季节的亚组分析。结果表明,极低平均温度(P1:RR=1.18)、极低大气压(P1:RR=1.11)和极高相对湿度(P99:RR=1.35)暴露是风险因素,而极高大气压(P90:RR=0.883)和极低湿度(P10:RR=0.856)则表现出降低 DED 风险的正向效应。相对湿度呈现 1 天的滞后效应(RR=1.06)。平均温度升高对女性 DED 患者有正向影响(RR=0.761),在寒冷季节(RR=0.926)也有类似的影响。然而,相对湿度升高对女性患者有负向影响(RR=1.14)。我们在世界上离海洋最远的西北地区这个大城市进行了首次大型样本量时间序列分析研究,证实了 DED 门诊就诊与乌鲁木齐市除风速外的另外三个气象因素之间存在关联,仍需要更大样本量、多中心、长期的流行病学研究。

相似文献

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[3]
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引用本文的文献

[1]
Delayed effects of the relative humidity on the outpatient visits of dry eye disease in Shanghai, China: effect modification by green and blue space.

J Glob Health. 2025-5-5

[2]
The Effects of Environmental Factors on General Human Health: A Scoping Review.

Healthcare (Basel). 2024-10-24

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