Multi-Omic Candidate Screening for Markers of Severe Clinical Courses of COVID-19.

BACKGROUND

Severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) disease courses are characterized by immuno-inflammatory, thrombotic, and parenchymal alterations. Prediction of individual COVID-19 disease courses to guide targeted prevention remains challenging. We hypothesized that a distinct serologic signature precedes surges of IL-6/D-dimers in severely affected COVID-19 patients.

METHODS

We performed longitudinal plasma profiling, including proteome, metabolome, and routine biochemistry, on seven seropositive, well-phenotyped patients with severe COVID-19 referred to the Intensive Care Unit at the German Heart Center. Patient characteristics were: 65 ± 8 years, 29% female, median CRP 285 ± 127 mg/dL, IL-6 367 ± 231 ng/L, D-dimers 7 ± 10 mg/L, and NT-proBNP 2616 ± 3465 ng/L.

RESULTS

Based on time-series analyses of patient sera, a prediction model employing feature selection and dimensionality reduction through least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) revealed a number of candidate proteins preceding hyperinflammatory immune response (denoted ΔIL-6) and COVID-19 coagulopathy (denoted ΔD-dimers) by 24-48 h. These candidates are involved in biological pathways such as oxidative stress/inflammation (e.g., IL-1alpha, IL-13, MMP9, C-C motif chemokine 23), coagulation/thrombosis/immunoadhesion (e.g., P- and E-selectin), tissue repair (e.g., hepatocyte growth factor), and growth factor response/regulatory pathways (e.g., tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO and low-density lipoprotein receptor (LDLR)). The latter are host- or co-receptors that promote SARS-CoV-2 entry into cells in the absence of ACE2.

CONCLUSIONS

Our novel prediction model identified biological and regulatory candidate networks preceding hyperinflammation and coagulopathy, with the most promising group being the proteins that explain changes in D-dimers. These biomarkers need validation. If causal, our work may help predict disease courses and guide personalized treatment for COVID-19.