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一项针对多囊卵巢综合征患者 IVF 项目的马尔可夫模型模拟表明,肌醇与 rFSH 联合使用在意大利卫生系统中具有成本效益。

A Markov-model simulation of IVF programs for PCOS patients indicates that coupling myo-Inositol with rFSH is cost-effective for the Italian Health System.

机构信息

Data Mining International SA, Geneva, Switzerland.

R&D Department, Lo.Li. Pharma, 00156, Rome, Italy.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2023 Oct 18;13(1):17789. doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-44055-0.

Abstract

Accumulating evidence suggests that oral supplementation with myo-Inositol (myo-Ins) is able to reduce the amount of gonadotropins and days of controlled ovarian hyperstimulation (COS) necessary to achieve adequate oocyte maturation in assisted reproduction technology (ART) protocols, particularly in women affected by polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS). We used computational calculations based on simulation modellings. We simulated in vitro fertilization (IVF) procedures-with or without intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI)-with 100,000 virtual patients, accounting for all the stages of the entire IVF procedure. A Monte Carlo technique was used to account for data uncertainty and to generate the outcome distribution at each stage. We considered virtual patients with PCOS undergoing IVF cycles to achieve pregnancy. Computational data were retrieved from clinical experience and published data. We investigated three parameters related to ART protocols: cost of single procedure; efficacy to achieve ongoing pregnancy at 12 gestational weeks; overall cost per single pregnancy. The administration of oral myo-Ins during COH protocols, compared to the standard COH with recombinant Follicle Stimulating Hormone (rFSH) only, may be considered a potential strategy to reduce costs of ART for the Italian Health System.

摘要

越来越多的证据表明,口服补充肌醇(myo-Ins)能够减少促性腺激素的用量和控制性卵巢过度刺激(COS)的天数,从而在辅助生殖技术(ART)方案中实现足够的卵母细胞成熟,特别是在多囊卵巢综合征(PCOS)患者中。我们使用基于模拟建模的计算计算。我们模拟了有或没有胞浆内精子注射(ICSI)的体外受精(IVF)程序-用 100,000 个虚拟患者进行模拟,涵盖了整个 IVF 程序的所有阶段。蒙特卡罗技术用于考虑数据不确定性,并生成每个阶段的结果分布。我们考虑了患有 PCOS 的虚拟患者进行 IVF 周期以实现妊娠。计算数据取自临床经验和已发表的数据。我们研究了与 ART 方案相关的三个参数:单个程序的成本;在 12 个妊娠周达到持续妊娠的疗效;每个妊娠的总成本。与仅使用重组卵泡刺激素(rFSH)的标准 COH 相比,在 COH 方案中口服给予肌醇可能被认为是降低意大利卫生系统 ART 成本的一种潜在策略。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ea7d/10584971/c36fafa0a1e8/41598_2023_44055_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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