University of Eastern Finland, Department of Environmental and Biological Sciences, Kuopio, Finland; Finnish Institute for Health and Welfare, Environmental Health Unit, Kuopio, Finland.
University of Eastern Finland, Department of Environmental and Biological Sciences, Kuopio, Finland; University of Eastern Finland, Department of Technical Physics, Kuopio, Finland.
Environ Res. 2024 Jan 1;240(Pt 2):117396. doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2023.117396. Epub 2023 Oct 19.
Climate change has increased attention to the health effects of high ambient temperatures and heatwaves worldwide. Both cause-specific mortality and hospital admissions are studied widely, mainly concentrating on warmer climates, but studies focusing on more subtle health effects and cold climates lack. This study investigated the effect of summertime daily ambient temperatures and heatwaves on sick leaves in the employed population in Helsinki, Finland, a Nordic country with a relatively cold climate.
We obtained from the City of Helsinki personnel register data on sick leaves for the summer months (June-August) of 2002-2017. We estimated the overall cumulative association of all and short (maximum 3-day) sick leaves with daily mean temperature over a 21-day lag period using a negative binomial regression model coupled with a penalized distributed lag non-linear model (penalized DLNM). The association of sick leaves with heatwaves (cut-off temperature 20.8 °C), and prolonged heatwaves, was estimated using a negative binomial regression model coupled with DLNM. We adjusted the time series model for potential confounders, such as air pollution, relative humidity, time trends, and holidays.
Increasing daily temperature tended to be associated with decreased overall cumulative risk of sick leaves and short sick leaves over a 21-day lag period. In addition, heatwaves and prolonged heatwaves were associated with decreased overall cumulative risk of sick leaves compared to all other summer days: RR 0.87 (95 % CI 0.78 to 0.97) and RR 0.83 (95 % CI 0.70 to 0.98), respectively.
This research suggests that summertime daily temperatures that are high for this northern location have protective effects on the health of the working population.
气候变化增加了人们对全球高环境温度和热浪对健康影响的关注。已有大量研究关注特定病因死亡率和住院人数,主要集中在气候较温暖的地区,但缺乏针对更微妙健康影响和寒冷气候的研究。本研究调查了芬兰赫尔辛基夏季日常环境温度和热浪对就业人群病假的影响,芬兰是一个北欧国家,气候相对寒冷。
我们从赫尔辛基市人事登记处获得了 2002 年至 2017 年夏季(6-8 月)的病假数据。我们使用负二项回归模型结合惩罚分布滞后非线性模型(penalized DLNM),估计了 21 天滞后期内每日平均温度与所有和短期(最长 3 天)病假的总体累积关联。使用负二项回归模型结合 DLNM 估计了病假与热浪(临界温度 20.8°C)和长时间热浪的关联。我们调整了时间序列模型,以考虑潜在的混杂因素,如空气污染、相对湿度、时间趋势和节假日。
随着每日温度的升高,21 天滞后期内总累积病假和短期病假的风险呈下降趋势。此外,与所有其他夏季相比,热浪和长时间热浪与总累积病假风险降低有关:RR0.87(95%CI0.78 至 0.97)和 RR0.83(95%CI0.70 至 0.98)。
这项研究表明,对于这个北欧地区来说,夏季的高温对工作人群的健康具有保护作用。