Institute of Women and Children's Health, School of Life Course and Population Sciences, King's College London, London, UK.
Fetal Medicine Research Institute, King's College Hospital, London, UK.
BJOG. 2024 May;131(6):803-810. doi: 10.1111/1471-0528.17684. Epub 2023 Oct 24.
To determine whether serum placental growth factor (PlGF) at 19-23 weeks of gestation can improve the identification of risk for adverse outcomes.
Prospective observational cohort study.
Two English maternity units.
Unselected singleton pregnancies attending routine ultrasound at 19-23 weeks of gestation.
Outcomes ascertained by health record review. Diagnostic test properties evaluated clinical risk factors for pre-eclampsia (according to National Institute of Care Excellence) or fetal growth restriction (according to Royal College of Obstetricians and Gynaecologists), low PlGF at 19-23 weeks of gestation (<5th percentile) or both.
Pre-eclampsia, gestational hypertension, stillbirth, birthweight below third percentile or neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) admission for ≥48 h.
In 30 013 pregnancies, risk factors were present in 9941 (33.1%), low PlGF was present in 1501 (5.0%) and both ('two-stage' screening) were present in 547 (1.8%) pregnancies. Risk factors detected 41.7%-54.7% of adverse outcomes, and could not meaningfully revise the risk (all positive likelihood ratios, +LR, <5.0; all negative likelihood ratios, -LR, ≥0.2). Low PlGF detected 8.5%-17.4% of adverse outcomes, but meaningfully increased risks (other than NICU admission) associated with delivery <37 weeks of gestation (+LR = 5.03-15.55); all -LRs were ≥0.2. 'Two-stage' screening detected 4.2%-8.9% of adverse outcomes, with meaningful +LRs (6.28-18.61) at <37 weeks of gestation, except for NICU admission of ≥48 h, which had an +LR of 7.56 at <34 weeks of gestation; all -LRs were ≥0.2. No screening strategy meaningfully increased or decreased the detection of adverse outcome risk at term.
Clinical risk factor screening has a high screen-positive rate and a poor detection of adverse outcomes. False positives cannot be reduced by PlGF testing at 19-23 weeks of gestation; therefore, this cannot be recommended as a useful strategy on its own.
确定妊娠 19-23 周时血清胎盘生长因子(PlGF)是否能提高不良结局的风险识别能力。
前瞻性观察队列研究。
英国的两家产科单位。
在妊娠 19-23 周进行常规超声检查的未选择的单胎妊娠。
通过健康记录回顾确定结局。评估临床风险因素(根据国家保健卓越研究所)或胎儿生长受限(根据皇家妇产科医师学院)、妊娠 19-23 周时 PlGF 水平低(<第 5 百分位数)或两者的诊断试验特性。
子痫前期、妊娠高血压、死胎、出生体重低于第 3 百分位数或新生儿重症监护病房(NICU)入住≥48 小时。
在 30013 例妊娠中,9941 例(33.1%)存在风险因素,1501 例(5.0%)存在 PlGF 水平低,547 例(1.8%)存在“两阶段”筛查。风险因素检测到 41.7%-54.7%的不良结局,且无法显著改变风险(所有阳性似然比,+LR,<5.0;所有阴性似然比,-LR,≥0.2)。低 PlGF 检测到 8.5%-17.4%的不良结局,但显著增加了与妊娠<37 周相关的风险(除了 NICU 入住≥48 小时)(+LR=5.03-15.55);所有 -LR 均≥0.2。“两阶段”筛查检测到 4.2%-8.9%的不良结局,妊娠<37 周时具有显著的+LR(6.28-18.61),但 NICU 入住≥48 小时除外,其在妊娠<34 周时的+LR 为 7.56;所有 -LR 均≥0.2。没有筛查策略能显著增加或降低足月时不良结局风险的检出率。
临床风险因素筛查的阳性率高,对不良结局的检出率低。PlGF 检测不能减少假阳性,因此,单独使用这种方法不能作为一种有用的策略。