Pediatric Nephrology Unit, Hospital Interzonal General Dr. José Penna, Bahía Blanca, Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Instituto de Matemática de Bahía Blanca (INMABB), Departamento de Matemática, Universidad Nacional del Sur-CONICET, Bahía Blanca, Argentina.
Pediatr Nephrol. 2024 Apr;39(4):1221-1228. doi: 10.1007/s00467-023-06183-7. Epub 2023 Oct 26.
A substantial proportion of patients with Escherichia coli-hemolytic uremic syndrome (STEC-HUS) evolve to chronic kidney disease (CKD). The objectives of this study were to evaluate long-term kidney outcomes and to identify CKD predictors.
In this single-center retrospective study, long-term outcomes of patients were analyzed according to the presence of complete recovery (CR) or CKD at last visit. Then, they were grouped into favorable (CR + CKD1) or poor (CKD2-5) outcome to compare predictors at diagnosis (sex, age, leukocytes, creatinine, hemoglobin, HUS severity score), dialysis duration, and follow-up time between them.
Of 281 patients followed up for a median of 12 years, 139 (49%) had CR, 104 (37%) CKD1, 27 (10%) CKD2-4, and 11 (4%) CKD5. Thirty-eight patients progressed to CKD2-5 after a median of 4.8 years, 7% in the first 5 years, increasing to 8%, 10%, and 14% after 5-10 years, 10-15 years, and > 15 years, respectively. They were younger, had higher baseline hemoglobin and leukocytes, and required longer dialysis and follow-up than those with favorable outcome. By multivariate analysis, days of dialysis and follow-up time remained as independent predictors of poor outcome. The best cutoff for days of dialysis was 10 days. After 5 years, 20% of those dialyzed ≥ 10 days evolved to CKD2-5 versus 1% of those non-dialyzed or dialyzed < 10 days.
Fifty-one percent of patients evolved to CKD after 12 years of follow-up and 14% to CKD2-5. Ten days of dialysis was the best cutoff to recognize outcomes. In some cases, kidney damage was evident after 15 years of surveillance, highlighting the need for follow-up until adulthood in all STEC-HUS patients.
相当一部分产志贺样毒素大肠杆菌溶血尿毒综合征(STEC-HUS)患者会发展为慢性肾脏病(CKD)。本研究旨在评估长期肾脏预后,并确定 CKD 的预测因素。
本单中心回顾性研究根据末次随访时是否完全恢复(CR)或 CKD 将患者的长期预后进行分析。随后,根据预后情况(CR+CKD1 或 CR+CKD2-5)将患者分为两组,比较两组间起病时(性别、年龄、白细胞、肌酐、血红蛋白、HUS 严重程度评分)、透析时间和随访时间的预测因素。
281 例患者中位随访 12 年,其中 139 例(49%)完全恢复,104 例(37%)为 CKD1,27 例(10%)为 CKD2-4,11 例(4%)为 CKD5。中位随访 4.8 年后有 38 例患者进展为 CKD2-5,5 年内为 7%,5-10 年、10-15 年和>15 年时分别为 8%、10%和 14%。进展至 CKD2-5 的患者较预后良好的患者年龄更小,起病时血红蛋白和白细胞水平更高,且需要更长时间的透析和随访。多因素分析显示,透析时间和随访时间是不良预后的独立预测因素。透析时间最佳截断值为 10 天。5 年后,10 天以上透析患者中 20%进展为 CKD2-5,而非透析或透析<10 天的患者中为 1%。
随访 12 年后,51%的患者发展为 CKD,14%进展为 CKD2-5。透析 10 天是判断预后的最佳截断值。在某些情况下,在随访 15 年后才出现肾脏损害,这突出表明所有 STEC-HUS 患者都需要随访至成年。