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中国的生育行为与中老年健康状况:从生命历程的角度来看。

Fertility behaviors and mid-late-life health status in China: From a life-course perspective.

机构信息

School of Economics and Management, Northwest University, Xi'an, Shaanxi, 710127, China.

School of Public Administration, Guangzhou University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, 510006, China; The Nossal Institute for Global Health, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, 3053, Australia.

出版信息

Soc Sci Med. 2023 Dec;338:116314. doi: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2023.116314. Epub 2023 Oct 16.

Abstract

Despite extensive research on the impact of fertility behaviors on mid-late-life health, conclusions remain inconsistent, and understanding is limited regarding the role of fertility-correlated life events in this causality. This study uses the 2018 wave and life-history information of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) dataset to explore how the number of children born (NCB) and age at first birth (AFB) influence later-life health. It also examines the effects of early-life educational attainment and mid-late-life caregiving on later-life health from a life-course perspective. Health measures include the Health Deficit Index (HDI), Activities of Daily Living (ADL), and Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE). Results from the instrumental variables (IV) approach indicate that higher NCB predicts worse health, while later AFB predicts better later-life health. These findings remain robust with different measures of fertility behaviors, and in models that control for cohort and community fixed-effects. However, introducing education variables could disrupt the causality between fertility behaviors and later-life health, but not with caregiving variables. This suggests a potential "horse race" effect between education and fertility behaviors, both of which significantly influence later-life health. Therefore, understanding this causality and formulating policy for an aging society from a life-course perspective is essential.

摘要

尽管关于生育行为对中老年健康的影响已经进行了广泛的研究,但结论仍然不一致,对于生育相关的生活事件在这一因果关系中的作用的理解也有限。本研究使用了 2018 年中国健康与养老追踪调查(CHARLS)的数据集的波次和生命史信息,来探讨生育子女数量(NCB)和首次生育年龄(AFB)如何影响晚年健康。还从生命历程的角度探讨了早年的受教育程度和中老年时期的照顾对晚年健康的影响。健康测量包括健康缺陷指数(HDI)、日常生活活动(ADL)和简易精神状态检查(MMSE)。工具变量(IV)方法的结果表明,较高的 NCB 预示着更差的健康状况,而较晚的 AFB 预示着更好的晚年健康。这些发现与不同的生育行为衡量标准以及控制队列和社区固定效应的模型都具有稳健性。然而,引入教育变量可能会破坏生育行为与晚年健康之间的因果关系,但不会破坏与照顾变量之间的因果关系。这表明在教育和生育行为之间可能存在着一种“赛马”效应,这两者都对晚年健康有重要影响。因此,从生命历程的角度理解这种因果关系并制定老龄化社会的政策是至关重要的。

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