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经验证的预后评分可预测体外膜肺氧合桥接患者肺移植的结局。

Validated Prognostic Scores to Predict Outcomes in ECLS-Bridged Patients to Lung Transplantation.

机构信息

Thoracic Surgery Unit, Department of Cardiac, Thoracic Vascular Sciences and Public Health, University Hospital of Padua, Padua, Italy.

Department of Thoracic Surgery, University Hospital of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.

出版信息

Transpl Int. 2023 Oct 30;36:11609. doi: 10.3389/ti.2023.11609. eCollection 2023.

Abstract

Selection of patients who may benefit from extracorporeal life support (ECLS) as a bridge to lung transplant (LTx) is crucial. The aim was to assess if validated prognostic scores could help in selecting patients who may benefit from ECLS-bridging predicting their outcomes. Clinical data of patients successfully ECLS-bridged to LTx from 2009 to 2021 were collected from two European centers. For each patient, we calculated Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA), Simplified Acute Physiology Score III (SAPS III), Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II), before placing ECLS support, and then correlated with outcome. Median values of SOFA, SAPS III, and APACHE II were 5 (IQR 3-9), 57 (IQR 47.5-65), and 21 (IQR 15-26). In-hospital, 30 and 90 days mortality were 21%, 14%, and 22%. SOFA, SAPS III, and APACHE II were analyzed as predictors of in-hospital, 30 and 90 days mortality (SOFA C-Index: 0.67, 0.78, 0.72; SAPS III C-index: 0.48, 0.45, 0.51; APACHE II C-Index: 0.49, 0.45, 0.52). For SOFA, the score with the best performance, a value ≥9 was identified to be the optimal cut-off for the prediction of the outcomes of interest. SOFA may be considered an adequate predictor in these patients, helping clinical decision-making. More specific and simplified scores for this population are necessary.

摘要

筛选可能从体外生命支持(ECLS)中获益并作为肺移植(LTx)桥接的患者至关重要。目的是评估经过验证的预后评分是否有助于选择可能从 ECLS 桥接中获益的患者,并预测其结局。从 2009 年至 2021 年,从两个欧洲中心收集了成功接受 ECLS 桥接至 LTx 的患者的临床数据。对于每个患者,我们在放置 ECLS 支持之前计算了序贯器官衰竭评估(SOFA)、简化急性生理学评分 III(SAPS III)、急性生理学和慢性健康评估 II(APACHE II),并将其与结局相关联。SOFA、SAPS III 和 APACHE II 的中位数分别为 5(IQR 3-9)、57(IQR 47.5-65)和 21(IQR 15-26)。院内、30 天和 90 天死亡率分别为 21%、14%和 22%。SOFA、SAPS III 和 APACHE II 被分析为院内、30 天和 90 天死亡率的预测因子(SOFA C-指数:0.67、0.78、0.72;SAPS III C-指数:0.48、0.45、0.51;APACHE II C-指数:0.49、0.45、0.52)。对于 SOFA,得分最高的分数≥9 被确定为预测相关结局的最佳截断值。SOFA 可被视为这些患者的一种合适的预测因子,有助于临床决策。对于该人群,需要更具体和简化的评分。

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