School of Electronics and Information Engineering, Taizhou University, Taizhou 318000, China.
Math Biosci Eng. 2023 Nov 20;20(12):20852-20880. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2023923.
The scale of tourism has continued to expand in recent years, and many associated activities cause damage to the natural environment. The tourism, economy and natural environment constitute a system: destruction of the natural environment reduces the value of tourism and a lack of tourism affects the development of the economy. To explore the relationship between the tourism, economy and natural environment, and to explore possibilities for sustainable development, this paper takes Hangzhou, a tourist city in China, as a research object. An analysis of time series data is carried out. First, the tourism, economy and natural environment subsystems are constructed by extracting time series data acquired between 2010 and 2020. Second, a tourism evaluation model with coupled economic and natural environment data is constructed and the coupling degree and coupling coordination level in Hangzhou are evaluated. Third, the time series of each subsystem and the coupling coordination level of the whole system are analyzed. Finally, an optimization strategy is proposed for the coupled coordinated development of the tourism, economy and natural environment in Hangzhou. A key result is that the tertiary industry represented by tourism has become the main source of local income. Hangzhou's tourism coupling coordination level has changed from slight disorder in 2010 to good in 2020. It is also found that the COVID-19 pandemic has become a major factor restricting the development of tourism. Before the outbreak of COVID-19, Hangzhou's tourism industry and economy were synchronized. After the outbreak of COVID-19, both the number of tourists and tourism revenue in Hangzhou fell by nearly 15%.
近年来,旅游业规模持续扩大,许多相关活动对自然环境造成了破坏。旅游、经济和自然环境构成了一个系统:自然环境的破坏降低了旅游的价值,而旅游业的缺乏又影响了经济的发展。为了探讨旅游、经济和自然环境之间的关系,探索可持续发展的可能性,本文以中国旅游城市杭州为研究对象。通过对时间序列数据进行分析。首先,通过提取 2010 年至 2020 年期间获取的时间序列数据,构建了旅游、经济和自然环境子系统。其次,构建了一个具有耦合经济和自然环境数据的旅游评价模型,并对杭州的耦合度和耦合协调水平进行了评价。第三,分析了各子系统的时间序列和整个系统的耦合协调水平。最后,提出了杭州旅游、经济和自然环境协调发展的优化策略。一个关键结果是,以旅游业为代表的第三产业已成为当地收入的主要来源。杭州的旅游耦合协调水平已从 2010 年的轻度失调转变为 2020 年的良好状态。研究还发现,新冠疫情已成为旅游业发展的主要制约因素。在新冠疫情爆发之前,杭州的旅游业和经济是同步发展的。疫情爆发后,杭州的游客数量和旅游收入几乎下降了 15%。