Sardeli Eirini, Michas Georgios, Pavlou Kyriaki, Vallianatos Filippos
Section of Geophysics-Geothermics, Department of Geology and Geoenvironment, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, 15772 Athens, Greece.
Institute of Physics of Earth's Interior and Geohazards, UNESCO Chair on Solid Earth Physics and Geohazards Risk Reduction, Hellenic Mediterranean University Research & Innovation Center, 73133 Chania, Greece.
Entropy (Basel). 2023 Dec 1;25(12):1612. doi: 10.3390/e25121612.
Significant seismic activity has been witnessed in the area of Ridgecrest (Southern California) over the past 40 years, with the largest being the 5.8 event on 20 September 1995. In July 2019, a strong earthquake of 7.1, preceded by a 6.4 foreshock, impacted Ridgecrest. The mainshock triggered thousands of aftershocks that were thoroughly documented along the activated faults. In this study, we analyzed the spatiotemporal variations of the frequency-magnitude distribution in the area of Ridgecrest using the fragment-asperity model derived within the framework of non-extensive statistical physics (NESP), which is well-suited for investigating complex dynamic systems with scale-invariant properties, multi-fractality, and long-range interactions. Analysis was performed for the entire duration, as well as within various time windows during 1981-2022, in order to estimate the parameter and to investigate how these variations are related to the dynamic evolution of seismic activity. In addition, we analyzed the spatiotemporal value distributions along the activated fault zone during 1981-2019 and during each month after the occurrence of the 7.1 Ridgecrest earthquake. The results indicate a significant increase in the parameter when large-magnitude earthquakes occur, suggesting the system's transition in an out-of-equilibrium phase and its preparation for seismic energy release.
在过去40年里,加州南部里奇克莱斯特地区见证了显著的地震活动,其中最大的一次是1995年9月20日发生的5.8级地震。2019年7月,一场7.1级的强烈地震袭击了里奇克莱斯特,震前还有一次6.4级的前震。主震引发了数千次余震,这些余震沿着活动断层被详细记录下来。在这项研究中,我们使用在非广延统计物理学(NESP)框架内推导的碎片-凹凸体模型,分析了里奇克莱斯特地区频率-震级分布的时空变化,该模型非常适合研究具有尺度不变性、多重分形和长程相互作用的复杂动态系统。对1981年至2022年的整个时间段以及不同时间窗口进行了分析,以估计参数并研究这些变化如何与地震活动的动态演化相关。此外,我们分析了1981年至2019年以及7.1级里奇克莱斯特地震发生后每个月沿活动断层带的时空值分布。结果表明,当发生大地震时,参数显著增加,这表明系统向非平衡阶段转变,并为地震能量释放做好准备。