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弗里德里希共济失调生存预测因素:一项前瞻性队列研究。

Predictors of Survival in Friedreich's Ataxia: A Prospective Cohort Study.

机构信息

Center for Rare Movement Disorders Innsbruck, Department of Neurology, Medical University Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria.

Department of Neurology, RWTH Aachen University, Aachen, Germany.

出版信息

Mov Disord. 2024 Mar;39(3):510-518. doi: 10.1002/mds.29687. Epub 2023 Dec 23.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Friedreich's ataxia (FA) is a rare multisystemic disorder which can cause premature death.

OBJECTIVES

To investigate predictors of survival in FA.

METHODS

Within a prospective registry established by the European Friedreich's Ataxia Consortium for Translational Studies (EFACTS; ClinicalTrials.gov identifier NCT02069509) we enrolled genetically confirmed FA patients at 11 tertiary centers and followed them in yearly intervals. We investigated overall survival applying the Kaplan-Meier method, life tables, and log-rank test. We explored prognostic factors applying Cox proportional hazards regression and subsequently built a risk score which was assessed for discrimination and calibration performance.

RESULTS

Between September 2010 and March 2017, we enrolled 631 FA patients. Median age at inclusion was 31 (range, 6-76) years. Until December 2022, 44 patients died and 119 terminated the study for other reasons. The 10-year cumulative survival rate was 87%. In a multivariable analysis, the disability stage (hazard ratio [HR] 1.51, 95% CI 1.08-2.12, P = 0.02), history of arrhythmic disorder (HR 2.93, 95% CI 1.34-6.39, P = 0.007), and diabetes mellitus (HR 2.31, 95% CI 1.05-5.10, P = 0.04) were independent predictors of survival. GAA repeat lengths did not improve the survival model. A risk score built on the previously described factors plus the presence of left ventricular systolic dysfunction at echocardiography enabled identification of four trajectories to prognosticate up to 10-year survival (log-rank test P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Arrhythmias, progressive neurological disability, and diabetes mellitus influence the overall survival in FA. We built a survival prognostic score which identifies patients meriting closer surveillance and who may benefit from early invasive cardiac monitoring and therapy. © 2023 The Authors. Movement Disorders published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of International Parkinson and Movement Disorder Society.

摘要

背景

弗里德里希共济失调(FA)是一种罕见的多系统疾病,可导致过早死亡。

目的

研究 FA 患者的生存预测因素。

方法

我们在欧洲弗里德里希共济失调转化研究联合会(EFACTS;ClinicalTrials.gov 标识符 NCT02069509)建立的前瞻性登记处中招募了 11 个三级中心的基因确诊 FA 患者,并每年对其进行随访。我们应用 Kaplan-Meier 法、寿命表和对数秩检验来研究总体生存率。我们应用 Cox 比例风险回归来探索预后因素,并随后构建风险评分,评估其判别和校准性能。

结果

在 2010 年 9 月至 2017 年 3 月期间,我们招募了 631 名 FA 患者。纳入时的中位年龄为 31 岁(范围,6-76 岁)。截至 2022 年 12 月,44 名患者死亡,119 名患者因其他原因终止研究。10 年累积生存率为 87%。在多变量分析中,残疾阶段(风险比 [HR] 1.51,95%CI 1.08-2.12,P=0.02)、心律失常病史(HR 2.93,95%CI 1.34-6.39,P=0.007)和糖尿病(HR 2.31,95%CI 1.05-5.10,P=0.04)是生存的独立预测因素。GAA 重复长度不能改善生存模型。基于之前描述的因素以及超声心动图检查左心室收缩功能障碍的存在构建的风险评分,能够识别出四种轨迹来预测 10 年生存率(对数秩检验 P<0.001)。

结论

心律失常、进行性神经功能障碍和糖尿病影响 FA 的总体生存。我们构建了一个生存预后评分,可以识别出需要更密切监测的患者,他们可能受益于早期的侵入性心脏监测和治疗。

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