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尼罗河三角洲东部人为和气候变化下的土地覆盖动态与水挑战洞察:基于遥感和地理信息系统数据的推断

Insight into land cover dynamics and water challenges under anthropogenic and climatic changes in the eastern Nile Delta: Inference from remote sensing and GIS data.

作者信息

Youssef Youssef M, Gemail Khaled S, Atia Hafsa M, Mahdy Mohamed

机构信息

Department of Geological and Geophysical Engineering, Faculty of Petroleum and Mining Engineering, Suez University, Suez 43518, Egypt.

Environmental Geophysics Lab (ZEGL), Department of Geology, Faculty of Science, Zagazig 44519, Egypt.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2024 Feb 25;913:169690. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.169690. Epub 2023 Dec 30.

Abstract

The destabilization of delta's worldwide due to climate change and human activities presents challenges in meeting the growing demands for freshwater and food. The Nile Delta in Egypt is a prime example of a vulnerable region facing various stressors. In order to preserve land and water resources, it is crucial to monitor the spatial and temporal changes in Land Use/Land Cover (LULC), shoreline, and Terrestrial Water Storage (TWS) in these vulnerable regions This study comprehensively investigates the dynamic changes in LULC and their associated water and soil responses in the Eastern Nile Delta under these combined impacts. To achieve this goal, a combination of remote sensing techniques utilizing Landsat (5, 8, and 9), and GRACE datasets, along with field observations and Geographic Information System (GIS) tools, was employed. Accordingly, shoreline changes show coastal erosion rates ranging from 5.28 to 34.92 m/year due to climate change-induced SLR, with continued inland movement predicted for the next 20 years. Moreover, the dynamic changes in urbanization and alterations in agricultural cover have considerable penalties for water demand. Analysis of GRACE data indicates a notable reduction in average TWS by 77.89 mm between 2002 and 2017, with an annual rate, estimated at -5.821 mm/year. Soil sampling in highly vulnerable areas confirms agricultural degradation attributed to elevated salinity levels, with EC values ranging from 3.60 to 190 ds/m. These finds provide valuable insights for stakeholders and policymakers, to make reliable strategies regarding water allocation, land use regulations, and climate change adaptation in the worldwide vulnerable deltas.

摘要

由于气候变化和人类活动,全球范围内三角洲的不稳定给满足日益增长的淡水和食物需求带来了挑战。埃及的尼罗河三角洲就是一个面临各种压力源的脆弱地区的典型例子。为了保护土地和水资源,监测这些脆弱地区土地利用/土地覆盖(LULC)、海岸线和陆地水储量(TWS)的时空变化至关重要。本研究全面调查了在这些综合影响下东尼罗河三角洲LULC的动态变化及其相关的水土响应。为实现这一目标,采用了利用Landsat(5、8和9)以及GRACE数据集的遥感技术组合,以及实地观测和地理信息系统(GIS)工具。据此,由于气候变化导致的海平面上升,海岸线变化显示沿海侵蚀速率在5.28至34.92米/年之间,预计未来20年将继续向内陆移动。此外,城市化的动态变化和农业覆盖的改变对水需求有相当大的影响。对GRACE数据的分析表明,2002年至2017年期间平均TWS显著减少了77.89毫米,年速率估计为-5.821毫米/年。在高度脆弱地区的土壤采样证实了由于盐度升高导致的农业退化,电导率值在3.60至190 ds/m之间。这些发现为利益相关者和政策制定者提供了宝贵的见解,以便在全球脆弱三角洲制定关于水资源分配、土地使用法规和气候变化适应的可靠策略。

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